Uk Horse Racing Research

Most uk horse racing punters recall Frankie Detorri’s magnificant seven at Royal Ascot a few years ago.

Ever since betting shop punters have been backing Detorri in multiple bets when he has several rides at a meeting.

Exactly how wise is this as a betting strategy however?

Horse racing researcher Dave Renham has examined many years of past horse racing data, crunched the numbers and has written a short article detailing all the cold hard facts and figures.

His findings may SHOCK some of you.

You may read his free report at the link below

Click here === >Frankie Detorri Betting Research

Saturday Free Horse Racing Tip

NOTTINGHAM 1.50

BET ON TotePLACEPOT AT ToteSPORT.COM

HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (4yo+,0-70) 5f13y

11/4 Silver Prelude, 9/2 Molly Two, 12/1 Bluebok,

12/1 Ryedane, 12/1 Tyrannosaurus Rex, 14/1 Gwilym,

16/1 Lake Chini, 16/1 Ronnie Howe, 16/1 The History

Man, 20/1 Comptonspirit, King Of Swords, 25/1

Brandywell Boy, 33/1 Thoughtsofstardom.

SELECTION – SILVER PRELUDE

* This is a 5f handicap for 0-70 horses

* Nottingham has 11 renewals of this race

* There has been 162 similar races elsewhere

* Taking the Nottingham race first

* Horses with under 21 career runs were 0-70

* Horses that came from 6f or more were 0-36

* None of the 11 winners were aged 8 or more

* Horses with under 9st scored badly (1-84)

* Horses absent over a month also struggled

Some of these trends have to be broken today and I think the horse that will do it is SILVER PRELUDE. I totally agree with the Racing Post that now he is back at 5f he can dominate the stands rain. SILVER PRELUDE may be better on the sand but he is also effective on turf. He is very well handicapped off 55. He has his lowest turf mark in years and if you look at the class of horse he was facing a few months ago it dwarfs these. His turf form isnt as good but it is still more than good enough to beat this 0-70 field. Dont forget he is just about bottomweight as well for this and all his 3 wins on Turf have been over 5f. I think he could blow these away on his best form. He comes from a Folkestone race where he made all the running for the first 5f. He came into that race with question marks. He had lost in every 6f race he had contested before. He was an 8yo absent over a month so could have been fitter. This front runner needs the drop down in trip and I cant see many of these catching him in this race. There are certainly some negatives about his opponents.

* There has been 162 of these 5f handicaps in May

* Fillies that had under 9 starts had a poor 2-71 record

* None of those had just 1 run that season (0-20)

* None of those were aged 4 or more (0-30)

* MOLLY TWO fails those trends

* Fillies aged 4 with under 13 runs won just 3 of the 162 races

* None had under 3 runs this season though

* MOLLY TWO has that to overcome

* All winning fillies had more backclass than her

* LAKE CHINI is out aged 7 with long absence

* KING OF SWORDS doesnt look ready to win

* THE HISTORY MAN has all his wins after July

* He should need more runs to get to peak fitness

* TYRANNOSAURUS REX is exposed with a 44 day break

* Exposed Male horses that had run this year struggled with absence

* Those like him absent over a month were 1-116

* All 42 aged 5 like TYRANNOSAURUS REX lost

* I think the absence beats TYRANNOSAURUS REX

* THOUGHTSOFSTARDOM is in the same boat

I think there are several that might win this if others

dissapoint. I quite like the mare COMPTONSPIRIT

as a big priced runner but the way this should map

out is that SILVER PRELUDE a fit and in form and

very well handicapped runner should make all and

run these into the ground. I will be surprised if any

horse manages to get to him and overtake him.

SHORTLIST

* COMPTONSPIRIT is value at 25/1

* She was 4th in this race last year

* I like her profile and she fits the “Nottingham” stats

* SILVER PRELUDE looks the one

SELECTION – SILVER PRELUDE

Silver Prelude is 3/1 with Sportingbet and Betfair

Silver Prelude is 11/4 with Bet365 – Betfred – BSq

Silver Prelude is 5/2 with Tote – VC

Guy Ward

To Visit Guy’s site click here ==> Betting Advice

Free Football Tip

West Ham v Liverpool Saturday 9th May 5.30pm ko Live on Setanta

TEAM NEWS

West Ham’s injury list includes Scott Parker, James Collins, Kieron Dyer, Dean Ashton, Valon Behrami, Danny Gabbidon and Carlton Cole.

Xabi Alonso has failed to recover from an ankle injury and will miss out for Liverpool.

Fernando Torres and Javier Mascherano are fit again and in the squad.

West Ham Squad: Green, Neill, Tomkins, Upson, Ilunga, Stanislas, Noble, Lopez, Kovac, Boa Morte, Collison, Tristan, Di Michele, Sears, Lastuvka, Spector, Payne, Hines, Savio.

Liverpool Squad: Reina, Arbeloa, Carragher, Skrtel, Hyypia, Agger, Dossena, Aurelio, Insua, Benayoun, Gerrard, Babel, Mascherano, Lucas, Kuyt, Torres, Riera, Cavalieri, Ngog, El Zhar.

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)

WEST HAM

PLAYER  Goals

Carlton Cole 9
Craig Bellamy 5
David Di Michele 4
Diego Tristán 3
Mark Noble 3
Jack Collison 3

LIVERPOOL

PLAYER Goals

Steven Gerrard 13
Fernando Torres 13
Dirk Kuyt 11
Yossi Benayoun 7
Robbie Keane 5
Alberto Riera 3

THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)

WEST HAM 13/2 13%

DRAW 10/3 23%

LIVERPOOL 4/7 64%

ANALYSIS

MATCH:

West Ham are sitting in seventh place in the league and are in pole position to qualify for the Europa league next season. Considering the resources he has had to work with, Gianfranco Zola has done a fantastic job. However, I think the Hammers are punching above their weight and are likely to miss out on European football next season. Several players left in January and the team that takes the field tomorrow will be missing seven of the starting eleven which left Anfield with a point in December. Several injury problems have reduced the Hammers to the bare bones and it is difficult to see them getting more than a draw.

Liverpool need a victory to keep alive their extremely slim hopes of snatching the title from Man United and will be boosted by the return of Fernando Torres. The Spaniard missed the goalless draw between the two in December and along with Gerrard, will provide a serious threat. Liverpool are scoring freely at the moment and have managed three or more in their last five games. They have lost just one of their last twenty four league games and they are rightfully strong favourites to leave Upton Park with all three points.

The match prices look about right and whilst a Liverpool victory is definitely the most likely outcome, it does not provide any real value. West Ham have failed to beat any of the six sides above them in the table this season and will be relying on hard work and team spirit rather than on quality to see them through.

GOALS:

Liverpool’s last six matches in all competitions have featured three goals or more as have nine of their last ten. These ten games have averaged 4.6 goals per game making over 2.5 goals the only option worth considering, at first glance. However, West Ham’s record is the exact opposite and twelve of the last thirteen have featured two goals or less. The Hammers are struggling to score at the moment and a bet on over 2.5 goals might require Liverpool to score three times.

GOALSCORERS:

Steven Gerrard is a standout 2/1 with Corals to score at anytime and is worthy of at least a small interest. Gerrard is joint top Liverpool scorer in the Premiership with thirteen goals but his seven in Europe and one FA cup goal take his tally to twenty one. His advanced role these days, along with his threat from set pieces and penalty taking duties make him a value proposition. Ladbrokes and Hills are just 5/4. Yossi Benayoun is also a backable price to score against his old club at 10/3 with Hills. He has eight goals in all competitions and is in the form of his career at the moment.

RECOMMENDATIONS

1pt Steven Gerrard to score anytime 2/1 Coral or 15/8 BoyleSports

Best Wishes

The Oracle

www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk