Money-Back Special – Our Necks On The Line!

2.30 Brighton
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second beaten by up to and including a neck in this race, we will refund your losing single stake.
Conditions

Money-Back Special – We’re Your Favourite

5.00 Wolverhampton
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second to the SP favourite in this race, we’ll refund your losing single stake.
Conditions

Money-Back Special – Dead Ballsy!

USA v Brazil
Sun 7.30pm – Live on BBC3/RTE2
Money-Back Special
If the last goal of the game is scored direct from a free kick, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.
Conditions

Money-Back Special – Dead Ballsy

USA v Brazil
Sun 7.30pm – Live on BBC3/RTE2
Money-Back Special
If the last goal of the game is scored direct from a free kick, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match. Conditions

Money-Back Special – Anyone For Seconds?

3.10 Newcastle
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second in this race, we’ll refund your losing single stake.
Conditions

3.10 The Curragh
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second to the SP favourite in this race, we’ll refund your losing single stake.
Conditions

Trainer Records at Newmarket

Dave Renham Provides an informative service over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

His clients tend to be canny punters who appreciate the importance of having good stats and information to hand when making betting decissions.

Below is just a tiny sample of some of the information they got from Dave today.

It is a quick and ready reconer to the top trainers at Newmarket.

Newmarket Trainer Stats

ALL RACES 2005-2009 (ordered by strike rate – 5 or more wins)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate (%)
Profit
ROI
(%)
J
Bolger
8
26
30.8
+£22.57
+86.8
G
Swinbank
8
35
22.9
+£19.45
+55.6
J
Gosden
75
358
21.0
+£145.46
+40.6
T
Tate
5
24
20.8
+£28.00
+116.7
H
Cecil
33
162
20.4
+£8.81
+5.4
S
Bin Suroor
45
224
20.1
-£17.78
-7.9
J
R Best
9
49
18.4
+£61.75
+126.0
J
Portman
5
29
17.2
+£50.50
+174.1
H
Candy
11
69
15.9
+£27.75
+40.2
A
O’Brien
14
88
15.9
-£3.83
-4.4
R
Charlton
19
120
15.8
-£9.57
-8.0
M
Tregoning
11
71
15.5
+£3.58
+5.1
B
Smart
6
40
15.0
+£14.00
+35.0
Sir
M Stoute
50
344
14.5
-£69.18
-20.1
R
Beckett
11
83
13.3
+£33.13
+39.9
J
Noseda
30
229
13.1
-£72.77
-31.8
63
513
12.3
-£43.17
-8.4
W
Haggas
23
194
11.9
-£31.11
-16.0
R
Hannon
63
537
11.7
-144.36
-26.9
J
Fanshawe
22
194
11.3
-£81.00
-41.8
C
Cox
8
75
10.7
+£2.33
+3.1
R
Cowell
5
47
10.6
-£2.00
-4.3
B
Millman
5
47
10.6
-£4.80
-10.2
H
Morrison
12
115
10.4
-£13.63
-11.9
G
Butler
8
77
10.4
-£10.42
-13.5
A
Balding
12
116
10.3
-£4.00
-3.5
T
Mills
6
60
10.0
-£18.17
-30.3
E
Vaughan
5
51
9.8
-£21.25
-41.7
G
Huffer
5
51
9.8
+£7.25
+14.2
L
Cumani
15
154
9.7
-£53.72
-34.9
C
Wall
11
113
9.7
-£34.87
-30.9
6
62
9.7
+£34.50
+55.7
M
Johnston
24
251
9.6
-£57.75
-23.0
D
Elsworth
29
306
9.5
-£101.32
-33.1
M
Wigham
5
53
9.4
-£2.25
-4.3
W
Swinburn
8
87
9.2
-£18.44
-21.2
P
Chapple-Hyam
20
219
9.1
-£83.35
-38.1
M
Channon
33
372
8.9
-£67.63
-18.2
B
Meehan
30
355
8.5
-£83.21
-23.4
Miss
Gay Kelleway
8
95
8.4
-£1.50
-1.6
M
Jarvis
21
252
8.3
-114.29
-45.4
E
Dunlop
17
214
7.9
-£83.88
-39.2
N
Callaghan
13
167
7.8
-£66.75
-40.0
J
Toller
7
90
7.8
+£21.00
+23.3
T
Barron
5
67
7.5
-£29.67
-44.3
M
Bell
14
188
7.5
-£68.30
-36.3
Mrs
A Perrett
11
155
7.1
-£50.75
-32.7
W
Musson
7
99
7.1
-£28.00
-28.3
D
Nicholls
6
85
7.1
-£40.63
-47.8
J
Dunlop
24
349
6.9
-£123.25
-35.3
M
Quinn
5
75
6.7
-£18.50
-24.7
P
Cole
9
147
6.1
-£67.75
-46.1
W
Jarvis
6
104
5.8
-£71.47
-68.7
K
Ryan
8
139
5.8
-£50.00
-36.0
J
Pearce
5
93
5.4
-£48.00
-51.6
M
Tompkins
10
222
4.5
-£112.00
-50.5
C
Brittain
8
198
4.0
-£68.50
-34.6

Free Horse Racing Tip For Newmarket

Guy from Mathematician Betting is having a busy day today on his Full Service. He has three advised bets in total. Here we have just one of them.

It’s just a tiny snippet from a very comprehensive message his Full Members receive

Newmarket 5.05

COMPTON’S ELEVEN 6/1 Win Bet
VIOLENT VELOCITY 4/1 Saver

I thought hard about making COMPTONS ELEVEN an account bet with VIOLENT VELOCITY as a saver.
He’s such a typical account bet for me down in class and also conceeding weight to inferior horses.
On Paper he smells like a great bet but the danger is he could now be a sour 8 year old grey mule that has forgotten how to win.
There are other well treated runners as well and I just feel he is a
little short of a full bet especially with the rain about.
In terns of strength he is a very strong selection as I’m also saving on the second best handicapped horse in the race.
Both these horses are so well treated I will be shocked if one doesnt win.
They are both worth a decent bet but just fall short of a maximum.

COMPTONS ELEVEN 7/1 LadbrokesHillsS James -Skybet – Paddy Power

VIOLENT VELOCITY 11/2 Bet365
VIOLENT VELOCITY 5/1 LadbrokesHills

****************************************************

NEWMARKET 5.05

AGORA APPRENTICE HANDICAP(CLASS 5)(4yo+ 0-70) 7f

4/1 Another Try, 5/1 King’s Icon, 13/2 Convince, 13/2 Pretty Officer, 8/1 Tri Chara, 10/1 Bigfanofthat, 10/1 Cavalry Guard, 10/1 Violent Velocity, 12/1 Compton’s Eleven, 14/1 King Of The Moors, 16/1 Rough Rock, 25/1 Majestic Cheer, 33/1 Ramblin Bob.

SELECTION -COMPTON´S ELEVEN

SAVER – VIOLENT VELOCITY

This is a 7f Handicap For Apprentice riders. June and July have seen 64 handicaps like this.
There has been 578 similar races for all types of jockeys and not just Apprentices. I used both trends.

* KINGS ICON has 1 run this year
* In 64 Apprentice races horses doing that were 0-42
* He also has a 65 day absence
* He looks potentially unfit for a semi exposed horse
* I looked at 578 similar 7f handicaps
* No horse as exposed as him won with 1 run and a break
* He is well handicapped and from a shrewd stable
* I would question his fitness though and he isnt for me
* RAMBLIN BOB lost by too far just 3 days ago
* TRI CHARA is hard to fancy
* He is exposed and comes from a 6f race
* No winners did that without a recent run and he’s been off 92 days
* He is also USA Bred and has all his best form on sand
* He may also struggle on the ground
* ROUGH ROCK will struggle to get home on the ground
* He also has the worst draw for me
* PRETTY OFFICER has spent her last races at 10f or more
* Its asking her a lot to drop from 10f to 7f
* No Filly did that in any of the 64 Apprentice races
* They scored very poorly in 578 other races
* There is far too much risk in her as a Filly not won before
* The ground could also hurt to PRETTY OFFICER is out
* MAJESTIC CHEER has to go from a 6f Seller
* CAVALRY GUARD was beaten too far in a 0-55 last time
* I dont see him as good enough
* Not without any form on the ground and winless on grass

POSSIBLES

* KING OF THE MOOR has reasonable claims
* He has a 39 day absence though
* Thats not easy for an exposed 6 year old
* He also has no recent form at 7f in years
* All his runs in the last two years were at 8f or more
* All his wins in the last two years were at 8f and more
* KING OF THE MOOR does have questions to answer
* ANOTHER TRY is inexperienced with 7 runs
* In 64 Apprentice Handicaps only 2 winners had under 9 runs
* I have found 1 similar winner to him
* Statistically I dont have a problem but there are issues
* His last win was when given a gift of a Draw
* I dont see his draw today as favourable at all
* He has to come from 6f to 7f and thats not straight forward
* He may also find the ground more testing than he faced before
* I respect him but he isnt for me
* BIGFANOFTHAT has a chance
* He still has to come up from 6f with just 1 run since April
* He certainly has a chance in this race
* CONVINCE is entitled to run well
* I dont have a major problem with him
* VIOLENT VELOCITY has a serious chance
* He is thrown in off his current mark
* The Absence doesnt worry me
* I have found several winners like him
* I rate him a good saver

COMPTON´S ELEVEN is very interesting. I remember making
him an account bet when he won the Grey Horse Handicap her
in 2007. Statistically he is fine. I think I have made a reasonable case against a lot of his rivals.
What interests me though is that he could have a Class advantage.
COMPTON´S ELEVEN is rated 69 and he has to win what is only a 0-64 handicap.
He has come down about 14lbs in the weights within the last year.
He has been running himself fitter and fitter all year as he comes down the
handicap and today is a Career low mark.

* His last run was 6th at Warwick beaten 7 lengths
* That was in a 0-83 Handicap much better than this race
* The Lowest rated horse he faced that day was 70
* The Highest rated horse he faces today is 64
* He was also badly drawn at Warwick in stall 11
* He was last into the turn and finished away from the track bias
* 6th place wasnt bad and the 4th and 5th came out and won since
* His previous race at Folkestone was in a better class 0-78 handicap
* His 4th that day doesnt suggest he couldnt win this 0-64
* He stays – He has won with ground on the soft side
* Most of his wins come on a straight track as well

SELECTION -COMPTON´S ELEVEN

SAVER – VIOLENT VELOCITY

Guy Ward

The Mathematician

****************************************************

To Visit Guy’s site click here ==> Betting Advice

Money-Back Special – Roaring Start!

South Africa v Lions – 2nd Test
Sat 2pm – Live on SS1
Money-Back Special
If the first score of the game is a Lions try, Paddy Power will refund all losing try scorer and winning margin bets on the match.
Conditions

Watch now: Hector and Eddie O’Sullivan (we think) discuss Schalk Burger’s impressive assets ahead of the 2nd Test

Money-Back Special – Don’t Settle for Second Best!

4.15 Folkestone
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second to Mabait in this race, we’ll refund your losing single stake.
Conditions

Free Bet Special – Pocket Aces

Wimbledon 2009
June 22nd-July 4th
Free Bet Special
If you have a losing in-running match bet on any Wimbledon game streamed live on PPTV (Centre court and courts 1,2,3,14 and 18) and the final shot of that match is an Ace, Paddy Power will give you a free in-running bet to the same stake on any other Wimbledon match.
Conditions