It always helps to understand the past when betting on horses.

Below are a few interesting facts for Saturday’s racing.

These are just a tiny tiny sample from the member message over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

Positive Stat

Pegasus Lad   (1:50 Sandown)      Mark Johnston – horses stepping up in trip from 1m or less and tackling at least 1m1f; SR 20.6% ROI +23.8%

Negative Stat

The Two G’s   (5:50 Lingfield)       Poor sire stat – Mark of Esteem 2yo non handicaps over 5f SR 3.3% ROI loss -71.3%

SR = strike rate

ROI = return on investment

figures based on about a decade of past horse racing history

These are two selections from a Laying System or more correctly from a group of separate systems that go by the name of Terry’s Lays.

It is a long term profitable message board thread from the full member area over at www.PunterProfits.com

The ideas behind this approach were based on a horse racing research article by Dave Renham. The Article was titled Can You Make A Profit Backing Favourites.
The article examined the fate of favourites under various conditions.

These system lays arose as a follow on from that initial research.

Two for today

Sand 4:00 – Efistorm

Bath 5:35 – Hatch A Plan

Lay them on Betfair

LINGFIELD 6.20

HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+,0-65) 6f

11/2 Bateleur, 8/1 Another Try, 8/1 Plumage, 10/1 Dualagi,
10/1 Mr Skipiton, 10/1 Sherjawy, 14/1 Charlie Delta, 14/1
Rhapsilian, 16/1 Hollow Jo, Keep Dancing, 20/1 Kingsgate
Castle,25/1 C’Mon You Irons, 25/1 Calypso Girl, 33/1 Ejeed, 33/1 Scruffy Skip.

* This is a 6f handicap for 0-65 rated horses
* There has been 120 similar races in June

High Drawn horses have a massive advantage over this Course
and Distance. The last few handicaps here over this trip with 9 or more runners have seen the winning stalls drawn as follows. 10-10 , 7-9 , 9-9 , 9-9 , 13-13 , 12-14. I wouldnt entertain a low drawn horse. I would oppose KEEP DANCING – SHERJAWY C´MON YOU IRONS are all drawn in the bottom 4 stalls and KINGSGATE CASTLE is also badly drawn. There are several of these that dont look fit or ready to win. I’d argue this includes SCRUFFY SKIP and EJEED. HOLLOW JO is out with a long absence as an older horse. MR SKIPITON is out having a nasty absence and also a step up in trip. Whilst he has a good draw CHARLIE DELTA doesnt look ready to win. He’s exposed and has a big weight and has hasnt ran wellenough this year to think he can win without more runs. I am ruling out CALYPSO GIRL a filly from a 3yo handicap. You can give both DUALAGI and
RHAPSILIAN chances but no more than that and in an 18 runner race neither are well drawn in stalls 6 and 8 and I dont want a Mare from a bad draw. I feel there are 3 runners in this race.

PLUMAGE – BATELEUR – ANOTHER TRY

We backed PLUMAGE last night and she dissapointed but it
was a better race last night with far more improvers and she is very fit. It will be very annoying if she wins. I would also want to shortlist ANOTHER TRY. He has just won at Southwell and is a lightly raced horse. He won a poor race on sand and you wouldnt fancy the horses he beat in this race and he was 18/1 and has no form on Grass at all. He is lightly raced and well drawn though. Statistically he is only average and not many winners come from the sand in these races and he is a hard horse to judge. It depends on what he thinks of the grass. BATELEUR has the outstanding profile. Couldnt fault it at all and unless there is a deluge of rain tonight I think he’s the one.

SELECTION – BATELEUR

Best Price 11/4 Coral

Guy Ward
To Visit Guy’s Site Click Here ==> Horse Racing Tips