What Price City To Be Dunn Over ?

WILL CITY BE DUNN OVER?

WITH BLACKBURN’S David Dunn quoted as saying that his side should ‘kick lumps’ out of Manchester City, William Hill have made the Rovers’ star a 20/1 shot to be sent off during the game, and opened a book on how many Blackburn players will be carded in the match, offering 16/1 that seven or more of them will see red or yellow.
Hills offer 8/1 that no Rovers player is booked; 3/1 just one; 9/4 two; 3/1 three; 6/1 four; 8/1 five; 12/1 six. ‘If Dunn and Blackburn wanted to keep on the right side of the ref in this match, he seems to have gone a strange way about it’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

HOW MANY PREM PLAYERS WILL SEE RED OVER FIRST WEEKEND?………William Hill are betting on how many red cards will be dished out during the first round of Premiership matches, and offer: 2/1 None; 5/4 one; 10/3 two; 8/1 three or more.

WHICH BIG 5 HIT MAN WILL STRIKE FASTEST?

William Hill have opened a book on which Big 5 striker will hit the fastest goal of the first round of Premiership matches:
Which Big 5 Striker Will Score Fastest (By Match Minute)
Anelka 6/1
Rooney 7/1
Owen 7/1
Drogba 7/1
Torres 7/1
Addebayor 8/1
Gerrard 8/1
Eduardo 10/1
Van Persie 10/1
Tevez 10/1
9/1 none of these to score.
Each-way fifth 1,2,3.
**Only these players to count.
Which Team Will Score The Fastest Goal ? (By Match Minute)
Chelsea 6/1
Man Utd 6/1
Man City 8/1
Arsenal 10/1
Liverpool 11/1
Aston Villa 12/1
Everton 14/1
Stoke 14/1
Burnley 16/1
Wolves 16/1
West Ham 16/1
Tottenham 16/1
Bolton 20/1
Sunderland 20/1
Portsmouth 20/1
Fulham 20/1
Wigan 25/1
Blackburn 25/1
Hull 33/1
Birmingham 33/1
Each-way one fifth the odds 1,2,3.
Which Match Will Have The Fastest Goal ?
Chelsea v Hull 5/1
Man Utd v Birmingham 5/1
Everton v Arsenal 6/1
Blackburn v Man City 7/1
Tottenham v Liverpool 8/1
Stoke v Burnley 9/1
Aston Villa v Wigan 9/1
Wolves v West Ham 9/1
Portsmouth v Fulham 10/1
Bolton v Sunderland 10/1
Each-way one fifth the odds 1,2,3.
BURN-ING MONEY?
William Hill have taken a bet of £300 on Burnley winning the Premiership at odds of 2500/1 – in a Hampstead, London betting shop. ‘It is fair to say that this was the most unexpected bet we have taken on the title race, and we have cut their odds to, er, 2000/1′ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe, ‘But it wasn’t such a shock to take a £10,000 bet on Manchester City, in the form of a £5000 each-way wager. Burnley and City are our worst potential outcomes in the title race but it is fair to say we are taking one of them more seriously than the other!’
LATEST William Hill PREMIERSHIP TITLE ODDS: 15/8 Chelsea; 23/10 Man U; 4 Liverpool; 9 Arsenal; 11 Man City; 125 Spurs; 200 Everton; Villa; 500 West Ham;2000 Burnley.
WIHTOUT BIG 4….5/6 Man C; 7/2 Spurs; 5 Everton; 13/2 Villa; 33 Fulham; Sunderland; West Ham
PUNTERS BET ON BROKEN HART

Portsmouth’s Paul Hart has been the heaviest backed manager in William Hill‘s ‘first Premiership boss to go’ market. Hart is now 4/1 favourite, having been backed down from 6/1, with Phil Brown and Alex McLeish the 9/2 joint second favourites, and Mark Hughes 6/1 fourth favourite. ‘Pompey’s financial woes and their lacklustre form at the end of the last campaign undoubtedly explain the gamble on Hart, but if their takeover goes through shortly and they are able to bring players in, their situation could change rapidly’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.
Hills: FIRST PREM BOSS TO GO…4/1 Hart; 9/2 Brown; McLeish; 6/1 Hughes;16 Martinez;McCarthy; Megson; 20 Benitez; Hodgson; Pulis; Zola; 25 Ancelotti; Allardyce; Bruce; 28 Wenger; 33 Coyle; O’Neill; Redknapp; 40 Moyes; Ferguson
William Hill RELEGATION ODDS….4/7 Burnley; 4/5 Birmingham; 4/5 Hull; 6/4 Portsmouth; 13/8 Wolves; 3/1 Stoke; 4/1 Wigan; 7/1 Bolton; 8/1 Blackburn; 9/1 Sunderland.
Further information…….graham sharpe…0208 918 3731

5/1 Football Punter To Hit William Hill For £2m This Season

5/1 Hills to pay out £2m on single bet this season:
‘WIN £2m WITH William Hill‘ : BOOKIES WELCOME NEW SEASON WITH RECORD PAYOUT OFFER

SINCE THE DECLINE of the football pools’ jackpots, it has not been possible to win more than £1million by betting on football matches – until now, as bookmakers William Hill have announced that they are raising their payout limit to £2million – the highest of any bookmaker – from the start of the new Premiership season.

‘Football betting has never been more popular and we feel the time is right to offer punters the opportunity of winning a life-changing amount of money by pitting their knowledge of the game against that of our odds compilers. So we have doubled our current £1 maximum winnings from this week. This concession is expected to encourage punters to include more matches in their accumulators in order to ratchet up their potential winnings, and it can only be a matter of time until someone becomes British bookmaking’s first ever double millionaire.’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Hills have even opened a book on when they will pay out on their first £2million winning football bet, offering 5/1 during the current season; 10/1 during the World Cup Finals 2010; 4/1 next season; 8/13 in 2011/12 or later.

**In 2001 Hills paid Staffordshire roofer Mick Gibbs £500,000 for a 30p accumulator ending with Bayern Munich’s victory over Valencia in the Champions League Final.

**In 1998 London Financier Galen Moore collected £760,000 from Hills after backing West Ham and Charlton to win the ‘handicaps’ in their respective divisions.

Please Note>>>>>>£2m Limit applies to Grade One matches/trophies played in following competitions: English Premiership;SPL; English Championship; League One; League Two; Blue Square Premier; Scottish 1,2 3. English and Scottish Cup matches; Internationals; Champions League; Europa Cup…….La Liga Primera; Serie A; Bundesliga; Le Championnat Premiere.
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Saturday Horse Racing Tip

Chester 2.25

BERTOLIVER 5/1 William Hill

For best live odds see

http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2009-08-22/chester/14-25/betting/

Win Bet

Just one selection on BERTOLIVER at Chester. Feels like a
subdued Saturday with less Racing and some smaller fields and in an attempt to find my best bet at decent odds there were not many options and only one horse that came close to being a bet and that’s BERTOLIVER. There are issue at Chester over 5 furlongs like the start and how fast they go and there is also a false rail there today so plenty of factors in this race that we can not be sure about but I think I’ve made a good enough case for BERTOLIVER to be worth a bet around 5/1 and the race has plenty of negatives as well which should increase his chance.

CHESTER 2.25

TotePLACEPOT HANDICAP(CLASS 4)(3yo+ 0-85) 5f16y

7/2 Glamorous Spirit, 9/2 Bertoliver, 6/1 Tyrannosaurus Rex, 7/1 Invincible Lad, 7/1 Tyfos, 10/1 Le Toreador, 12/1 Misaro, 14/1 Supermassive Muse, 16/1 Rasaman, 20/1 Total Impact, 33/1 Methaaly, 33/1 Sands Crooner, 33/1 Stolt.

This is a 5f Handicap for 0-84 rated horses. Chester has had 34 of these races in August and September and there has been 497 similar handicaps elsewhere. GLAMOROUS SPIRIT has to go as a 3yo filly from a 3yo handicap. In 497 races there were just three Fillies who managed to win with that profile. Of these 3 fillies none had a weight she has or were beaten as far as she was last time and none were as exposed as She is. GLAMOROUS SPIRIT has 15 runs. Look at 3yo fillies with 13 or more runs from 3yo handicaps and since 1993 you see a 0-57 record. The problem in this race is that every runner has a recent race and is well raced and the strength in depth is enormous. RASAMAN does not appeal as horses from 6f claimers were miserable. I suppose that as Chester has had 34 handicaps in the last 3 seasons at 5 furlongs and that stalls 11 or more were 0-56 we should throw out the high drawn horses so METHAALY is rejected as is SANDS CROONER – STOLT and TOTAL IMPACT as well. SUPERMASSIVE MUSE won this last year and was well beaten last year before this race just as he is this year. The difference for me now is he is exposed now and doesnt have the same preparation and I ran his profile through 497 races and no horse like him won. Exposed 4 year olds beaten 10 lengths or more last time like him were poor and those without at least nine runs that season were 0-76 so he isnt for me. I dont fancy TYRANNOSAURUS REX. When he won here in June it was a Career best. He has to better than today in a better class race from a higher handicap mark and I dont see him doing that from a stable that are really struggling and when he may have gone off the boil himself. MISARO needs close to a career best and he may pop up but he is getting on now as an 8 year old and his last win came against “seniors” aged 6 or more in a much lower class race and the percentage call is that he will probably find something faster. TYFOS has stall 1. Very complicated sort of profile as a 4 year old down in trip with an intermediate sort of absence.

Statistically he did enough to get on a shortlist but I wasnt impressed enough. I felt he wanted a more recent run and he lacks backclass and that worries me. After all every other horse in this race has ran in a higher grade before than TYFOS has and you can ignore that for lightly raced horses but he has 16 runs now. Thrown in the fact he was outpaced and beaten the only time he ran at Chester over this trip and he doesnt have any other runs at 5f and when you consider the Dam won over hurdles and in a Bumper you wonder where he will get the speed for a race over 5 furlongs. I am not sold on his chance

SHORTLIST

BERTOLIVER -LE TOREADOR  -INVINCIBLE LAD

LE TOREADOR has an excellent chance and excellent profile
and ran much better than it looked last time but his problem is probably Stall 8 and how much luck he gets from that. Take the last 17 handicaps here over 5f. In these 17 races 16 of the 17 to win were drawn lower than Stall 8. LE TOREADOR will have to have some luck to win. INVINCIBLE LAD ran really well last  time at Goodwood and if he repeats that he could well win. My only worries here are no form at Chester and a Career high mark. He has a habit of starting slowly and thet wont help him here and he is riSky.

SELECTION

BERTOLIVER is well treated and he looks likely to burst out and try and make all. Whether he folds like he did last time at Newbury or not is another matter. It may have been a bit soft for him last time as he wants it fast and he does love it here so everything looks placed for a serious run from the front and he should trade low in running. He looks a win bet. Phillip Robinson is an eye catching booking and this looks his race.

Best Wishes

Guy

www.mathematician-betting.co.uk

Saturday Horse Racing Tip

Chester 2.25

BERTOLIVER 5/1 William Hill

For best live odds see

http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2009-08-22/chester/14-25/betting/

Win Bet

Just one selection on BERTOLIVER at Chester. Feels like a
subdued Saturday with less Racing and some smaller fields and in an attempt to find my best bet at decent odds there were not many options and only one horse that came close to being a bet and that’s BERTOLIVER. There are issue at Chester over 5 furlongs like the start and how fast they go and there is also a false rail there today so plenty of factors in this race that we can not be sure about but I think I’ve made a good enough case for BERTOLIVER to be worth a bet around 5/1 and the race has plenty of negatives as well which should increase his chance.

CHESTER 2.25

TotePLACEPOT HANDICAP(CLASS 4)(3yo+ 0-85) 5f16y

7/2 Glamorous Spirit, 9/2 Bertoliver, 6/1 Tyrannosaurus Rex, 7/1 Invincible Lad, 7/1 Tyfos, 10/1 Le Toreador, 12/1 Misaro, 14/1 Supermassive Muse, 16/1 Rasaman, 20/1 Total Impact, 33/1 Methaaly, 33/1 Sands Crooner, 33/1 Stolt.

This is a 5f Handicap for 0-84 rated horses. Chester has had 34 of these races in August and September and there has been 497 similar handicaps elsewhere. GLAMOROUS SPIRIT has to go as a 3yo filly from a 3yo handicap. In 497 races there were just three Fillies who managed to win with that profile. Of these 3 fillies none had a weight she has or were beaten as far as she was last time and none were as exposed as She is. GLAMOROUS SPIRIT has 15 runs. Look at 3yo fillies with 13 or more runs from 3yo handicaps and since 1993 you see a 0-57 record. The problem in this race is that every runner has a recent race and is well raced and the strength in depth is enormous. RASAMAN does not appeal as horses from 6f claimers were miserable. I suppose that as Chester has had 34 handicaps in the last 3 seasons at 5 furlongs and that stalls 11 or more were 0-56 we should throw out the high drawn horses so METHAALY is rejected as is SANDS CROONER – STOLT and TOTAL IMPACT as well. SUPERMASSIVE MUSE won this last year and was well beaten last year before this race just as he is this year. The difference for me now is he is exposed now and doesnt have the same preparation and I ran his profile through 497 races and no horse like him won. Exposed 4 year olds beaten 10 lengths or more last time like him were poor and those without at least nine runs that season were 0-76 so he isnt for me. I dont fancy TYRANNOSAURUS REX. When he won here in June it was a Career best. He has to better than today in a better class race from a higher handicap mark and I dont see him doing that from a stable that are really struggling and when he may have gone off the boil himself. MISARO needs close to a career best and he may pop up but he is getting on now as an 8 year old and his last win came against “seniors” aged 6 or more in a much lower class race and the percentage call is that he will probably find something faster. TYFOS has stall 1. Very complicated sort of profile as a 4 year old down in trip with an intermediate sort of absence.

Statistically he did enough to get on a shortlist but I wasnt impressed enough. I felt he wanted a more recent run and he lacks backclass and that worries me. After all every other horse in this race has ran in a higher grade before than TYFOS has and you can ignore that for lightly raced horses but he has 16 runs now. Thrown in the fact he was outpaced and beaten the only time he ran at Chester over this trip and he doesnt have any other runs at 5f and when you consider the Dam won over hurdles and in a Bumper you wonder where he will get the speed for a race over 5 furlongs. I am not sold on his chance

SHORTLIST

BERTOLIVER -LE TOREADOR  -INVINCIBLE LAD

LE TOREADOR has an excellent chance and excellent profile
and ran much better than it looked last time but his problem is probably Stall 8 and how much luck he gets from that. Take the last 17 handicaps here over 5f. In these 17 races 16 of the 17 to win were drawn lower than Stall 8. LE TOREADOR will have to have some luck to win. INVINCIBLE LAD ran really well last  time at Goodwood and if he repeats that he could well win. My only worries here are no form at Chester and a Career high mark. He has a habit of starting slowly and thet wont help him here and he is riSky.

SELECTION

BERTOLIVER is well treated and he looks likely to burst out and try and make all. Whether he folds like he did last time at Newbury or not is another matter. It may have been a bit soft for him last time as he wants it fast and he does love it here so everything looks placed for a serious run from the front and he should trade low in running. He looks a win bet. Phillip Robinson is an eye catching booking and this looks his race.

Best Wishes

Guy

www.mathematician-betting.co.uk

Soccer Betting Tip

2PTS Crystal Palace to beat Newcastle in the Championship

21/10 PaddyPower or 2/1 Coral, BoyleSports and Bet365

(Saturday 22nd August, 3.00pm KO)

After a summer of turmoil, Newcastle have surprised many people by making a positive start to the season. The Geordies have picked up seven points from their opening three fixtures in an unbeaten start. However, the off the field circus shows no signs of leaving town and it can only be a matter of time before results on the pitch begin to suffer. The exodus of “star” players continues as Damien Duff this week followed Michael Owen, Mark Viduka, Obafemi Martins, Sebastien Bassong and Habib Beye out of St James’ Park. Steven Taylor is supposedly in talks with Everton at the time or writing and he too looks to have played his last game for the club. It must be extremely difficult for caretaker boss Chris Hughton to keep morale up as the uncertainty and exodus continues, with only two weeks left to bring in any replacements. Whilst Newcastle are likely to carry on picking up points at home, I think they will carry on from last season where they struggled badly on the road, winning just two away games. Every supporter of a Championship club will have their club’s home fixture against Newcastle in the diary and they will be seen as a major scalp.

Crystal Palace should be the proud owners of an unbeaten record so far this season but I’m sure you are all aware of what went on last weekend at Ashton Gate. For those of you who may have been away, Palace basically scored the opening goal yet the referee somehow decided it had gone wide and ruled it out. To add insult to injury, Bristol City then grabbed a last minute winner to leave colourful Eagles boss Neil Warnock foaming at the mouth. However, Palace bounced back mid week with an impressive win at Ipswich and are well capable of following that up with another victory over Newcastle. Neil Warnock has several of the most promising youngsters in the Championship in his squad and names such as Nathanial Clyne, Lee Hills, Victor Moses and Sean Scannell are likely to become familiar to fans of Premiership clubs before too long. They also have England U21 forward Freddie Sears on a season long loan from West Ham. Warnock seems to have put together a decent blend of youth and experience and Julian Speroni, Clint Hill, Darren Ambrose, Shaun Derry and Alan Lee have all been around the block and will offer guidance to the club’s youngsters. I don’t think there will be too many opportunities to back Palace at 2/1+ at home this season and they have a far better chance than the odds suggest in my opinion.

The Oracle

To visit the oracle’s site click here ==> Soccer Betting Tip