All Weather Racing Statistics
This is a sample message from Dave Renham’s excellent RacingTrends Service.
NOT a tipping service. Much more so a stats service aimed at those who like to have well researched information to aid them making their own backing or laying decissions.
Typically he will produce separate messages covering both flat and national hunt. This is the flat version which just happens to be all all weather racing today.
If you are interested in a short free trial of this service to test it more fully yourself contact me and let me know and I will try and swing it for you.
Flat Message for Sat 4 Feb 2012
COURSE FAVOURITE STATS FLAT –
this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain
race types
Lingfield aw favourites
| Race type | Wins | Bets | SR (%) | Profit | ROI (%) | Race Times |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps | 362 | 1369 | 26.4 | -£55.15 | -4.0 | 12.55, 2.00, 2.30, 3.00, 3.35 |
| 3yo+ maidens | 63 | 153 | 41.2 | -£10.30 | -6.7 | 4.05, 4.35 |
Wolverhampton aw favourites
| Race type | Wins | Bets | SR (%) | Profit | ROI (%) | Race Times |
| 3yo only maidens | 28 | 84 | 33.3 | -£23.50 | -28.0 | 4.45 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps | 489 | 1929 | 25.4 | -£232.71 | -12.1 | 2.05, 2.40, 3.15, 3.45, 5.15 |
FAVOURITE STATS – this is a section looking
at the stats for favourites certain race types. These race types occur less
often so the course favourite stats for such races would have fairly small samples
– hence they have been grouped together to give you an overview.
| Race type | Wins | Bets | SR | Profit | ROI | Race Times |
| 3yo+/4yo+ claimers | 346 | 939 | 36.8 | -£13.97 | -1.5 | Wolv 4.15 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ sellers | 214 | 574 | 37.3 | +£26.22 | 4.6 | Ling 1.25 |
DRAW SECTION – the stats are collated from studying 10+ runner
handicaps. Each race is split into three – a top third of the draw, a middle
third of the draw and a bottom third of the draw.
| Course & distance (time) | Bottom third win % | Middle third win% | Top third win% |
| Lingfield aw 6f (2.00, 2.30) | 33 | 34 | 33 |
| Lingfield aw 1m (3.00) | 24 | 33 | 43 |
| Wolverhampton aw 7f (2.05, 2.40) | 37 | 40 | 24 |
Wolverhampton aw 7f (2.05, 2.40) low draws
have a slight advantage although it is not a strong enough bias to be fully
confident in.
POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW) Please note – some
are price** or going* dependent 4.05 Lingfield – Falcon’s Reign **:
J Noseda – Lingfield aw; male aged 2 or 3yo; must be favourite; SR 56% ROI +30%
(win & pl 76%)
NEGATIVE STATS – Please note – some are price** or going*
dependent 4.05 Lingfield – Godber: Poor Jockey Stat – 7lb claimers
riding 2 and 3yos ALL RACES; SR 6% ROI -48% (win & pl 19%)
POOR VALUE LAST TIME OUT WINNER – The idea is to find horses
that won LTO that perform poorly in comparison to all LTO winners. The stats
for all LTO winners in Flat races the strike rate (SR) is 16.2% and losses are
-16.7%. These are my benchmarks. None today
PACE INFORMATION
| Course | Leaders % (win) | Prominent / chased leaders % (win) | Hold up / behind % (win) |
| Lingfield aw 7f handicap (12.55) | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.00, 2.30) | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Lingfield aw 1m handicap (3.00) | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Lingfield aw 1m non handicap (4.05) | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Wolverhampton aw 7f handicap (2.05, 2.40) | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Wolverhampton aw 6f non handicap (4.45) | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.00) – Front
runners have a decent enough advantage. Here are the ratings for this race:
Waterloo Dock 3.9 Captain Dimitrios 3.3 Microlight 3.3 Efistorm 3.2 Mandy’s
Hero 3.1 Captainrisk 2.8 Waabel 2.8 Cut The Cackle 2.2 Fantasy Fighter 1.8 Forty
Proof 1.8
Conclusion – Waterloo Dock looks the best trading option here.
Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.30) – Here are the ratings for
this race: Royal Intruder 3.6 High Voltage 3.1 Slatey Hen 3.1 Chjimes 2.5 Custom
House 2.4 Court Applause 2.4 Picansort 2.2 Diamond Vine 1.8 Memphis Man 1.5
The Wee Chief 1.5 Conclusion – no real front runner
to trade here.
Horses mentioned in 2 or more sections – none
RECENT TRAINER FORM – FLAT (last 14 days exc. Friday) – in
strike rate order
| Name | Wins | Runs | Strike rate (%) | Placed | Win & Placed | Win & Placed % | Engagements |
| Jimmy Fox | 2 | 3 | 66.7 | 0 | 2 | 66.7 | Ling 12.55, Ling 2.30 |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 2 | 4 | 50.0 | 1 | 3 | 75.0 | Wolv 2.40 |
| Michael Bell | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | Ling 1.25, Wolv 5.15 |
| William Knight | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | Ling 3.00 |
| Hughie Morrison | 2 | 5 | 40.0 | 1 | 3 | 60.0 | Wolv 4.45 |
| David Barron | 2 | 6 | 33.3 | 0 | 2 | 33.3 | Ling 3.00 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1 | 33.3 | Ling 4.05 |
| Ian Williams | 3 | 9 | 33.3 | 2 | 5 | 55.6 | Wolv 3.45 |
| Jeremy Gask | 2 | 7 | 28.6 | 0 | 2 | 28.6 | Ling 3.00 |
| Mark Johnston | 6 | 26 | 23.1 | 6 | 12 | 46.2 | Ling 3.35, Wolv 3.15 |
| John Bridger | 2 | 9 | 22.2 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | Ling 3.00 |
| James Given | 1 | 5 | 20.0 | 0 | 1 | 20.0 | Wolv 3.15 |
| David Simcock | 2 | 12 | 16.7 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | Ling 4.05, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 4.45 |
| Joseph Tuite | 1 | 6 | 16.7 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | Wolv 2.05, Wolv 4.15, Wolv 5.15 |
| Reg Hollinshead | 1 | 6 | 16.7 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | Wolv 2.05 |
| Brian Baugh | 2 | 13 | 15.4 | 5 | 7 | 53.8 | Wolv 2.05, Wolv 4.45 |
| Richard Fahey | 4 | 29 | 13.8 | 5 | 9 | 31.0 | Ling 3.00, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.15 |
| Daniel Mark Loughnane | 1 | 8 | 12.5 | 2 | 3 | 37.5 | Ling 12.55, Wolv 5.15 |
| Julia Feilden | 1 | 8 | 12.5 | 2 | 3 | 37.5 | Wolv 3.15 |
| Eric Wheeler | 1 | 9 | 11.1 | 3 | 4 | 44.4 | Ling 12.55 |
| Ronald Harris | 3 | 27 | 11.1 | 1 | 4 | 14.8 | Ling 1.25, Ling 2.30 |
| Frank Sheridan | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 1 | 10.0 | Wolv 4.45 |
| David Evans | 3 | 32 | 9.4 | 9 | 12 | 37.5 | Ling 12.55, Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.15, Wolv 4.45 |
| Jim Boyle | 1 | 11 | 9.1 | 3 | 4 | 36.4 | Ling 12.55 |
| Marco Botti | 1 | 11 | 9.1 | 1 | 2 | 18.2 | Ling 4.35, Wolv 2.40 |
| Conor Dore | 1 | 13 | 7.7 | 1 | 2 | 15.4 | Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30, Wolv 3.15 |
| Scott Dixon | 1 | 15 | 6.7 | 4 | 5 | 33.3 | Ling 4.35 |
| Richard Guest | 3 | 53 | 5.7 | 8 | 11 | 20.8 | Ling 12.55, Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30, Ling 3.35, Wolv 3.15 |
| Alan McCabe | 1 | 22 | 4.5 | 1 | 2 | 9.1 | Ling 2.00, Ling 3.00 |
| Anthony Carson | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 25.0 | Ling 3.35 |
| Bill Turner | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 25.0 | Ling 1.25 |
| Christine Dunnett | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | Ling 2.00 |
| Gay Kelleway | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 22.2 | Ling 3.35 |
| Jo Hughes | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 22.2 | Ling 4.35, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.45, Wolv 5.15 |
| John Best | 0 | 8 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 12.5 | Ling 1.25 |
| John E Long | 0 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30 |
| John Wainwright | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 25.0 | Wolv 2.05 |
| Kevin Ryan | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 22.2 | Wolv 2.05, Wolv 5.15 |
| Michael Appleby | 0 | 13 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 15.4 | Ling 3.00, Ling 3.35, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.15, Wolv 5.15 |
| Michael Easterby | 0 | 8 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 25.0 | Wolv 2.40 |
| Michael Quinn | 0 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | Ling 2.00, Ling 4.05 |
| Olivia Maylam | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 28.6 | Ling 2.00 |
| Peter Crate | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 25.0 | Ling 2.30 |
| Peter Hiatt | 0 | 13 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 23.1 | Ling 1.25 |
| Rod Millman | 0 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | Wolv 2.40 |
| Terry Clement | 0 | 6 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 16.7 | Ling 3.00 |
| Zoe Davison | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | Ling 4.05 |
COURSE TRAINER STATS FLAT
Lingfield trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday
(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)
| Trainer | Wins | Runs | Strike Rate (%) | Profit | ROI (%) | Engagements |
| Jeremy Noseda | 51 | 216 | 23.6 | -£40.35 | -18.7 | 4.05, 4.35 |
| David Barron | 8 | 36 | 22.2 | +£12.17 | +33.8 | 3.00 |
| Scott Dixon | 1 | 5 | 20.0 | +£16.00 | +320.0 | 4.35 |
| William Knight | 34 | 172 | 19.8 | +£141.31 | +82.2 | 3.00 |
| Mark Johnston | 88 | 457 | 19.3 | -£112.29 | -24.6 | 3.35 |
| Daniel Mark Loughnane | 3 | 17 | 17.7 | +£3.25 | +19.1 | 12.55 |
| Richard Hannon | 102 | 667 | 15.3 | -£141.93 | -21.3 | 3.00 |
| Alan McCabe | 34 | 232 | 14.7 | +£115.23 | +49.7 | 2.00, 3.00 |
| Conor Dore | 36 | 253 | 14.2 | -£35.20 | -13.9 | 2.00, 2.30 |
| Michael Bell | 19 | 135 | 14.1 | -£39.03 | -28.9 | 1.25 |
| Jo Crowley | 17 | 133 | 12.8 | +£53.68 | +40.4 | 4.35 |
| David Simcock | 23 | 187 | 12.3 | -£46.73 | -25.0 | 4.05 |
| Peter Hiatt | 21 | 171 | 12.3 | +£14.08 | +8.2 | 1.25 |
| Marco Botti | 20 | 168 | 11.9 | -£19.12 | -11.4 | 4.35 |
| Richard Fahey | 19 | 161 | 11.8 | -£34.49 | -21.4 | 3.00 |
| Jeremy Gask | 15 | 129 | 11.6 | -£55.92 | -43.3 | 3.00 |
| Gay Kelleway | 21 | 184 | 11.4 | -£45.65 | -24.8 | 3.35 |
| Jim Boyle | 56 | 522 | 10.7 | -£117.10 | -22.4 | 12.55 |
| David Evans | 48 | 474 | 10.1 | -£136.50 | -28.8 | 12.55, 2.00, 2.30 |
| Peter Hedger | 5 | 52 | 9.6 | +£43.38 | +83.4 | 3.35, 4.35 |
| Ronald Harris | 34 | 355 | 9.6 | -£30.25 | -8.5 | 1.25, 2.30 |
| John Best | 61 | 675 | 9.0 | -£294.61 | -43.6 | 1.25 |
| William Muir | 21 | 244 | 8.6 | -£147.62 | -60.5 | 2.30 |
| Ralph Smith | 4 | 51 | 7.8 | +£12.00 | +23.5 | 4.05 |
| John E Long | 10 | 131 | 7.6 | -£4.17 | -3.2 | 2.00, 2.30 |
| Bill Turner | 13 | 176 | 7.4 | -£56.88 | -32.3 | 1.25 |
| Michael Appleby | 2 | 29 | 6.9 | -£20.00 | -69.0 | 3.00, 3.35 |
| Laura Mongan | 9 | 131 | 6.9 | -£19.50 | -14.9 | 12.55, 3.35 |
| Jamie Poulton | 12 | 178 | 6.7 | -£10.75 | -6.0 | 12.55 |
| Brendan Powell | 17 | 256 | 6.6 | -£93.00 | -36.3 | 3.35 |
| Michael Quinn | 10 | 164 | 6.1 | -£93.28 | -56.9 | 2.00, 4.05 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 4 | 69 | 5.8 | -£38.25 | -55.4 | 4.05 |
| J W Hills | 11 | 196 | 5.6 | -£107.29 | -54.7 | 4.05 |
| John Bridger | 17 | 336 | 5.1 | -£146.13 | -43.5 | 3.00 |
| Richard Guest | 4 | 79 | 5.1 | -£56.00 | -70.9 | 12.55, 2.00, 2.30, 3.35 |
| Mark H Tompkins | 5 | 101 | 5.0 | -£66.00 | -65.3 | 1.25, 3.00, 4.35 |
| Eric Wheeler | 4 | 86 | 4.7 | -£24.50 | -28.5 | 12.55 |
| Zoe Davison | 3 | 68 | 4.4 | -£15.50 | -22.8 | 4.05 |
| Christine Dunnett | 3 | 109 | 2.8 | -£81.00 | -74.3 | 2.00 |
| Jimmy Fox | 1 | 48 | 2.1 | -£41.50 | -86.5 | 12.55, 2.30 |
| Terry Clement | 1 | 51 | 2.0 | -£47.00 | -92.2 | 3.00 |
Wolverhampton trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday
(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)
| Trainer | Wins | Runs | Strike Rate (%) | Profit | ROI (%) | Engagements |
| Oliver Sherwood | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | £0.00 | +0.0 | 5.15 |
| Mark Johnston | 112 | 504 | 22.2 | +£13.74 | +2.7 | 3.15 |
| Michael Bell | 33 | 152 | 21.7 | -£4.70 | -3.1 | 5.15 |
| Don Cantillon | 7 | 34 | 20.6 | -£7.97 | -23.4 | 4.15 |
| George Baker | 35 | 181 | 19.3 | +£18.46 | +10.2 | 3.45 |
| Andrew Reid | 8 | 45 | 17.8 | +£47.00 | +104.4 | 3.45 |
| Marco Botti | 48 | 275 | 17.5 | +£12.23 | +4.4 | 2.40 |
| Hughie Morrison | 20 | 126 | 15.9 | -£16.23 | -12.9 | 4.45 |
| Joseph Tuite | 3 | 19 | 15.8 | +£0.38 | +2.0 | 2.05, 4.15, 5.15 |
| Kevin Ryan | 100 | 689 | 14.5 | -£139.04 | -20.2 | 2.05, 5.15 |
| Ian Williams | 39 | 285 | 13.7 | +£11.24 | +3.9 | 3.45 |
| David Simcock | 27 | 199 | 13.6 | -£30.87 | -15.5 | 2.40, 4.45 |
| Frank Sheridan | 20 | 167 | 12.0 | +£87.00 | +52.1 | 4.45 |
| Michael Easterby | 39 | 330 | 11.8 | -£63.33 | -19.2 | 2.40 |
| John Mackie | 21 | 178 | 11.8 | +£94.10 | +52.9 | 5.15 |
| Daniel Mark Loughnane | 9 | 77 | 11.7 | +£19.50 | +25.3 | 5.15 |
| Reg Hollinshead | 91 | 787 | 11.6 | -£7.96 | -1.0 | 2.05 |
| Tom Keddy | 11 | 97 | 11.3 | +£45.90 | +47.3 | 2.40, 3.15 |
| David Evans | 111 | 991 | 11.2 | -£196.59 | -19.8 | 2.40, 3.15, 4.15, 4.45 |
| Noel Quinlan | 4 | 36 | 11.1 | -£21.93 | -60.9 | 3.45 |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 12 | 109 | 11.0 | -£27.13 | -24.9 | 2.40 |
| James Given | 33 | 302 | 10.9 | -£27.21 | -9.0 | 3.15 |
| Richard Fahey | 63 | 599 | 10.5 | -£100.24 | -16.7 | 2.40, 3.15, 4.15 |
| Peter Niven | 5 | 48 | 10.4 | +£11.25 | +23.4 | 2.05 |
| Jo Hughes | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +£7.00 | +70.0 | 2.40, 3.15, 4.45, 5.15 |
| Rod Millman | 13 | 132 | 9.9 | -£51.45 | -39.0 | 2.40 |
| Julia Feilden | 15 | 158 | 9.5 | -£23.13 | -14.6 | 3.15 |
| Gordon Elliott | 2 | 24 | 8.3 | -£19.06 | -79.4 | 3.45, 4.15 |
| Brian Baugh | 43 | 517 | 8.3 | -£82.80 | -16.0 | 2.05, 4.45 |
| James Unett | 19 | 231 | 8.2 | -£60.97 | -26.4 | 5.15 |
| Richard Guest | 19 | 242 | 7.9 | -£112.38 | -46.4 | 3.15 |
| Conor Dore | 24 | 336 | 7.1 | -£173.63 | -51.7 | 3.15 |
| Philip Kirby | 2 | 30 | 6.7 | -£20.00 | -66.7 | 3.45 |
| John Wainwright | 2 | 31 | 6.5 | -£18.00 | -58.1 | 2.05 |
| Ray Peacock | 4 | 68 | 5.9 | +£0.50 | +0.7 | 2.05 |
| Alex Hales | 3 | 51 | 5.9 | -£32.50 | -63.7 | 3.45 |
| Robin Bastiman | 2 | 43 | 4.7 | -£32.00 | -74.4 | 2.05 |
| Michael Appleby | 4 | 151 | 2.7 | -£103.50 | -68.5 | 3.15, 4.15, 5.15 |