Horse Racing Statistics For Saturday
Knowledge is power when betting on horses.
Dave Renham’s RacingTrends is a service that provides is members with a wealth of statistical horse racing information each day.
It is NOT a racing tipping service.
More so a stat provision service cutting out hours of tedious study for it’s clients and providing a wealth of useful information on a plate to them.
Clients tend to be reasonably clued up punters who appreciate both the power of stats and research and the fact that it is very boring and tedious to compile such stats each day. Stats to hand they can focus on the more interesting aspect of race assessment to find value bets or lays of their own.
Dave produces separate messages for Flat and National Hunt Racing.
Copied below for you is todays Flat Racing message.
Flat Message for Sat 8 Dec 2012
COURSE FAVOURITE STATS FLAT – this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain race types
Lingfield aw favourites
|
Race type |
Wins |
Bets |
SR (%) |
Profit |
ROI (%) |
Race Times |
|
2yo maidens |
98 |
266 |
36.8 |
-£28.02 |
-10.5 |
12.05 |
|
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
362 |
1369 |
26.4 |
-£55.15 |
-4.0 |
12.40, 1.10, 2.50, 3.25 |
|
3yo+ maidens |
63 |
153 |
41.2 |
-£10.30 |
-6.7 |
2.15 |
FAVOURITE STATS – this is a section looking at the stats for favourites certain race types. These race types occur less often so the course favourite stats for such races would have fairly small samples – hence they have been grouped together to give you an overview.
|
Race type |
Wins |
Bets |
SR |
Profit |
ROI |
Race Times |
|
2yo nurseries |
249 |
922 |
27 |
-£62.25 |
-6.8 |
Ling 11.35 |
|
3yo+/4yo+ sellers |
214 |
574 |
37.3 |
+£26.22 |
4.6 |
Ling 1.40 |
DRAW SECTION – the stats are collated from studying 10+ runner handicaps. Each race is split into three – a top third of the draw, a middle third of the draw and a bottom third of the draw.
|
Course & distance (time) |
Bottom third win % |
Middle third win% |
Top third win% |
|
Lingfield aw 7f (12.40) |
37 |
33 |
30 |
POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW)
Please note – some are price** or going* dependent
12.05 Lingfield – Consign **: J Noseda – Lingfield aw; male aged 2 or 3yo; must be favourite; SR 56% ROI +30% (win & pl 76%)
12.05 Lingfield – Hurry Home Poppa **: Richarrd Kingscote riding in aw maidens for Tom Dascombe; must be top 3 in betting; Oct-Dec; SR 48%; ROI +62% (win & pl 80%)
1.40 Lingfield – Dark Lane: P Evans – class 6 sellers aged 4 and older SR 29% ROI +66% (win & pl 51%)
NEGATIVE STATS – Please note – some are price** or going* dependent
12.50 Lingfield – Kaylee: Poor Jockey Stat – 7lb claimers riding 2 and 3yos ALL RACES; SR 6% ROI -48% (win & pl 19%)
1.40 Lingfield – The Dancing Lord: Poor Jockey Stat – 7lb claimers riding 2 and 3yos ALL RACES; SR 6% ROI -48% (win & pl 19%)
POOR VALUE LAST TIME OUT WINNER – The idea is to find horses that won LTO that perform poorly in comparison to all LTO winners. The stats for all LTO winners in Flat races the strike rate (SR) is 16.2% and losses are -16.7%. These are my benchmarks.
None
PACE INFORMATION
|
Course |
Leaders % (win) |
Prominent / chased leaders % (win) |
Hold up / behind % (win) |
|
Lingfield aw 7f handicap (12.40) |
1.1 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
|
Lingfield aw 1m handicap (2.50, 3.25) |
0.9 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
Horses mentioned in 2 or more sections – none
RECENT TRAINER FORM – FLAT (last 14 days exc. Friday) – in strike rate order
|
Name |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike rate (%) |
Placed |
Win & Placed |
Win & Placed % |
Engagements |
|
James Given |
1 |
2 |
50.0 |
0 |
1 |
50.0 |
Ling 12.40 |
|
David Elsworth |
2 |
5 |
40.0 |
1 |
3 |
60.0 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
Jamie Osborne |
5 |
14 |
35.7 |
4 |
9 |
64.3 |
Ling 1.40 |
|
Derek Haydn Jones |
1 |
3 |
33.3 |
0 |
1 |
33.3 |
Ling 12.40, Ling 1.40, Ling 2.50 |
|
Jeremy Noseda |
1 |
3 |
33.3 |
0 |
1 |
33.3 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
Robert Mills |
1 |
4 |
25.0 |
1 |
2 |
50.0 |
Ling 11.35 |
|
J S Moore |
3 |
13 |
23.1 |
2 |
5 |
38.5 |
Ling 11.35 |
|
John Gosden |
2 |
9 |
22.2 |
1 |
3 |
33.3 |
Ling 2.15 |
|
John Ryan |
4 |
19 |
21.1 |
2 |
6 |
31.6 |
Ling 1.10, Ling 3.25 |
|
Lisa Williamson |
1 |
5 |
20.0 |
0 |
1 |
20.0 |
Ling 1.40, Ling 3.25 |
|
Pat Eddery |
1 |
5 |
20.0 |
1 |
2 |
40.0 |
Ling 2.50 |
|
Pat Phelan |
2 |
10 |
20.0 |
2 |
4 |
40.0 |
Ling 11.35, Ling 2.50, Ling 3.25 |
|
Stuart Williams |
1 |
5 |
20.0 |
1 |
2 |
40.0 |
Ling 12.40 |
|
William Haggas |
1 |
5 |
20.0 |
1 |
2 |
40.0 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
Kevin Ryan |
2 |
12 |
16.7 |
3 |
5 |
41.7 |
Ling 12.05, Ling 12.40 |
|
Andrew Balding |
3 |
19 |
15.8 |
2 |
5 |
26.3 |
Ling 11.35, Ling 2.15 |
|
Ian Williams |
2 |
13 |
15.4 |
1 |
3 |
23.1 |
Ling 12.40, Ling 1.40, Ling 2.15 |
|
John Bridger |
1 |
9 |
11.1 |
1 |
2 |
22.2 |
Ling 3.25 |
|
Marco Botti |
2 |
18 |
11.1 |
3 |
5 |
27.8 |
Ling 11.35, Ling 12.05 |
|
Michael Attwater |
1 |
9 |
11.1 |
1 |
2 |
22.2 |
Ling 1.10, Ling 2.15, Ling 3.25 |
|
David Evans |
3 |
29 |
10.3 |
4 |
7 |
24.1 |
Ling 12.05, Ling 12.40, Ling 1.10, Ling 1.40, Ling 2.50 |
|
Richard Fahey |
1 |
16 |
6.3 |
2 |
3 |
18.8 |
Ling 11.35, Ling 12.40 |
|
Alan McCabe |
0 |
6 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
33.3 |
Ling 12.40, Ling 3.25 |
|
Bill Turner |
0 |
4 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
Ling 1.10, Ling 1.40 |
|
Brendan Powell |
0 |
8 |
0.0 |
1 |
1 |
12.5 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
David Lanigan |
0 |
4 |
0.0 |
1 |
1 |
25.0 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
David Nicholls |
0 |
8 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
25.0 |
Ling 1.40 |
|
Edward Vaughan |
0 |
6 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
33.3 |
Ling 12.05, Ling 3.25 |
|
Mark H Tompkins |
0 |
4 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
Ling 1.10 |
|
Mark Johnston |
0 |
7 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
28.6 |
Ling 12.05, Ling 1.40 |
|
Michael Wigham |
0 |
5 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
40.0 |
Ling 2.50 |
|
Reg Hollinshead |
0 |
9 |
0.0 |
1 |
1 |
11.1 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
Richard Ford |
0 |
4 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
Ling 2.50 |
|
Richard Rowe |
0 |
4 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
Ling 1.10 |
|
Rod Millman |
0 |
5 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
Ling 12.40 |
|
Roger Ingram |
0 |
4 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
50.0 |
Ling 1.40, Ling 2.50 |
|
Scott Dixon |
0 |
16 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
12.5 |
Ling 11.35 |
|
Tom Dascombe |
0 |
7 |
0.0 |
3 |
3 |
42.9 |
Ling 12.05 |
|
Violet M Jordan |
0 |
6 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
Ling 2.15 |
|
William Muir |
0 |
7 |
0.0 |
2 |
2 |
28.6 |
Ling 11.35 |
COURSE TRAINER STATS FLAT
Lingfield trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)
|
Trainer |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate (%) |
Profit |
ROI (%) |
Engagements |
|
Jeremy Noseda |
61 |
240 |
25.4 |
-£32.39 |
-13.5 |
12.05 |
|
Tom Dascombe |
37 |
163 |
22.7 |
+£51.73 |
+31.7 |
12.05 |
|
Ian Williams |
18 |
81 |
22.2 |
+£23.96 |
+29.6 |
12.40, 1.40, 2.15 |
|
Sir Michael Stoute |
24 |
111 |
21.6 |
+£18.68 |
+16.8 |
2.15 |
|
John Gosden |
46 |
243 |
18.9 |
-£20.65 |
-8.5 |
2.15 |
|
Kevin Ryan |
50 |
266 |
18.8 |
-£34.78 |
-13.1 |
12.05, 12.40 |
|
Mark Johnston |
98 |
540 |
18.2 |
-£163.36 |
-30.3 |
12.05, 1.40 |
|
David Lanigan |
8 |
45 |
17.8 |
-£13.73 |
-30.5 |
12.05 |
|
Robert Mills |
7 |
43 |
16.3 |
-£13.99 |
-32.5 |
11.35 |
|
William Haggas |
25 |
157 |
15.9 |
-£60.82 |
-38.7 |
12.05 |
|
Stuart Williams |
34 |
225 |
15.1 |
-£49.73 |
-22.1 |
12.40 |
|
Andrew Balding |
43 |
294 |
14.6 |
-£83.06 |
-28.3 |
11.35, 2.15 |
|
J S Moore |
63 |
453 |
13.9 |
+£18.75 |
+4.1 |
11.35 |
|
Alan McCabe |
35 |
257 |
13.6 |
+£102.23 |
+39.8 |
12.40, 3.25 |
|
Michael Bell |
21 |
155 |
13.6 |
-£50.40 |
-32.5 |
12.05 |
|
David Nicholls |
11 |
85 |
12.9 |
-£6.76 |
-8.0 |
1.40 |
|
Jamie Osborne |
35 |
271 |
12.9 |
-£34.17 |
-12.6 |
1.40 |
|
Marco Botti |
24 |
196 |
12.2 |
-£35.30 |
-18.0 |
11.35, 12.05 |
|
Michael Wigham |
17 |
141 |
12.1 |
-£23.25 |
-16.5 |
2.50 |
|
Richard Fahey |
20 |
179 |
11.2 |
-£50.39 |
-28.2 |
11.35, 12.40 |
|
David Elsworth |
26 |
245 |
10.6 |
-£50.36 |
-20.6 |
12.05 |
|
Pat Eddery |
9 |
91 |
9.9 |
-£45.46 |
-50.0 |
2.50 |
|
Pat Phelan |
18 |
183 |
9.8 |
+£43.15 |
+23.6 |
11.35, 2.50, 3.25 |
|
Derek Haydn Jones |
5 |
51 |
9.8 |
+£5.00 |
+9.8 |
12.40, 1.40, 2.50 |
|
David Evans |
53 |
549 |
9.7 |
-£180.77 |
-32.9 |
12.05, 12.40, 1.10, 1.40, 2.50 |
|
James Given |
8 |
83 |
9.6 |
-£19.83 |
-23.9 |
12.40 |
|
Reg Hollinshead |
2 |
21 |
9.5 |
-£3.00 |
-14.3 |
12.05 |
|
Bill Turner |
18 |
198 |
9.1 |
-£55.80 |
-28.2 |
1.10, 1.40 |
|
Michael Attwater |
27 |
300 |
9.0 |
-£17.45 |
-5.8 |
1.10, 2.15, 3.25 |
|
William Muir |
24 |
276 |
8.7 |
-£171.25 |
-62.0 |
11.35 |
|
John Ryan |
10 |
115 |
8.7 |
+£6.75 |
+5.9 |
1.10, 3.25 |
|
Scott Dixon |
2 |
24 |
8.3 |
+£2.00 |
+8.3 |
11.35 |
|
Roger Ingram |
12 |
160 |
7.5 |
-£93.46 |
-58.4 |
1.40, 2.50 |
|
John E Long |
12 |
165 |
7.3 |
-£23.17 |
-14.0 |
3.25 |
|
Mark H Tompkins |
9 |
128 |
7.0 |
-£31.50 |
-24.6 |
1.10 |
|
Edward Vaughan |
7 |
105 |
6.7 |
-£60.89 |
-58.0 |
12.05, 3.25 |
|
Brendan Powell |
17 |
272 |
6.3 |
-£109.00 |
-40.1 |
12.05 |
|
Lisa Williamson |
1 |
16 |
6.3 |
+£10.00 |
+62.5 |
1.40, 3.25 |
|
Zoe Davison |
5 |
94 |
5.3 |
-£26.50 |
-28.2 |
3.25 |
|
John Bridger |
19 |
370 |
5.1 |
-£165.63 |
-44.8 |
3.25 |
|
Lydia Richards |
2 |
40 |
5.0 |
-£2.50 |
-6.3 |
1.10 |
|
Rod Millman |
6 |
125 |
4.8 |
-£81.50 |
-65.2 |
12.40 |
|
James Evans |
1 |
36 |
2.8 |
-£30.50 |
-84.7 |
1.10 |
|
Richard Rowe |
1 |
39 |
2.6 |
-£31.50 |
-80.8 |
1.10 |
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