Horse Racing Stats For Saturday

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS FLAT – this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain race types

Doncaster favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
2yo maidens 20 68 29.4 -£16.89 -24.8 2.10
3yo handicaps 11 58 19.0 -£19.35 -33.4 3.20, 5.05
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 59 244 24.2 -£14.29 -5.9 3.55
3yo+ maidens 6 22 27.3 -£10.25 -46.6 4.25

Goodwood favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
2yo maidens 33 104 31.7 -£9.39 -9.0 4.20
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 70 331 21.2 -£50.06 -15.1 2.05, 2.35, 3.45, 5.35

Hamilton favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 71 301 23.6 -£60.33 -20.0 7.10, 7.40, 8.10, 9.10
3yo+ maidens 12 21 57.1 £6.90 32.9 8.40

Lingfield favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
2yo maidens 38 68 55.9 £16.32 24.0 6.25
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 55 169 32.5 £28.53 16.9 5.55, 6.55, 7.25
2yo maidens 98 266 36.8 -£28.02 -10.5 7.55
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 362 1369 26.4 -£55.15 -4.0 8.25

Newmarket favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
2yo maidens 89 230 38.7 £18.00 7.8 3.25
3yo handicaps 65 220 29.6 £18.38 8.4 2.20
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 93 445 20.9 -£84.44 -19.0 4.05, 5.15, 5.50

Thirsk favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
2yo maidens 25 63 39.7 £2.02 3.2 1.55
3yo handicaps 23 73 31.5 £0.40 0.5 3.40
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 67 242 27.7 £16.73 6.9 4.10, 4.45, 5.20, 5.45
3yo+ maidens 18 46 39.1 -£9.07 -19.7 3.05

FAVOURITE STATS – this is a section looking at the stats for favourites certain race types. These race types occur less often so the course favourite stats for such races would have fairly small samples – hence they have been grouped together to give you an overview.

Race type Wins Bets SR Profit ROI Race Times
2yo nurseries 249 922 27 -£62.25 -6.8 Good 4.55, Hami 6.40, Newm 2.50, Thir 2.30
All age Group 1 races 40 99 40.4 +£1.75 1.8 Good 3.10

DRAW SECTION – the stats are collated from studying 10+ runner handicaps. Each race is split into three – a top third of the draw, a middle third of the draw and a bottom third of the draw.

Course & distance (time) Bottom third win % Middle third win% Top third win%
Goodwood 6f (2.05, 4.55) 46 40 14
Goodwood 1m1f (5.35) 20 47 33
Hamilton 5f (7.10) 24 24 53
Hamilton 1m (9.10) 45 27 27
Lingfield 7f140yds (5.55) 20 40 40
Lingfield 6f (7.25) 13 13 73
Lingfield aw 1m2f (8.25) 34 29 37
Thirsk 5f (2.30) 45 15 40
Thirsk 1m (3.40, 4.10) 32 41 27
Thirsk 6f (5.20) 16 32 52

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This information was taken from the excellent RacingTrends Service.

Shown above is actually just a small portion of the Saturday message from RacingTrends. In addition to horse racing statistics RacingTrends also provide long term profitable systematic lays selections which are a bit more akin to a normal tipping service.

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