Lingfield Strong Stat

Below is a snippet from The Mathematician’s much larger message for today.

It’s from a little section he calls “Strongest Statistic Today”.

In short not an official tip.

Just extra info gleaned from his research.

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Strongest Statistic Today

Lingfield 5.05

I suppose my best statistic has to involve the
favourite NEWS DESK at 5.05pm but she is a
short price and it wasn’t a bet I wanted to have.

* Fillies winning 10f handicaps last time
* Under 7 career starts
* 1-2 runs this season
* 8st 9lbs or more
* These horses had a W W W W record
* NEWS DESK shares that profile

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Adding some extra insight of my own on this one:

Newsdesk was originally anticipated to be around the 6/4 mark.

It has been a bit of a drifter however and you can now get as much as

5/2  at s  james

The movers in that market so far have been second favourite Santadelcruz now about 3/1.

Also Kings Wharf which has been a  bit of a big priced steamer now cut to 9/1 max at William Hill.

It’s a good example of the pondering a punter must do.

Does one follow the market moves or play value hunting contrarian happily taking a much larger than expected price about a strong stat horse ?