Below is a snippet from The Mathematician’s much larger message for today.
It’s from a little section he calls “Strongest Statistic Today”.
In short not an official tip.
Just extra info gleaned from his research.
Strongest Statistic Today
I suppose my best statistic has to involve the
favourite NEWS DESK at 5.05pm but she is a
short price and it wasn’t a bet I wanted to have.
* Fillies winning 10f handicaps last time
* Under 7 career starts
* 1-2 runs this season
* 8st 9lbs or more
* These horses had a W W W W record
* NEWS DESK shares that profile
Adding some extra insight of my own on this one:
Newsdesk was originally anticipated to be around the 6/4 mark.
It has been a bit of a drifter however and you can now get as much as
5/2 at s james
The movers in that market so far have been second favourite Santadelcruz now about 3/1.
Also Kings Wharf which has been a bit of a big priced steamer now cut to 9/1 max at William Hill.
It’s a good example of the pondering a punter must do.
Does one follow the market moves or play value hunting contrarian happily taking a much larger than expected price about a strong stat horse ?