NOT a tipping service. Much more so a stats service aimed at those who like to have well researched information to aid them making their own backing or laying decissions.

Typically he will produce separate messages covering both flat and national hunt.  This is the flat version which just happens to be all all weather racing today.

If you are interested in a  short free trial of this service to test it more fully yourself contact me and let me know and I will try and swing it for you.

Flat Message for Sat 4 Feb 2012

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS FLAT –

this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain
race types

Lingfield aw favourites

Wolverhampton aw favourites

FAVOURITE STATS – this is a section looking
at the stats for favourites certain race types. These race types occur less
often so the course favourite stats for such races would have fairly small samples
- hence they have been grouped together to give you an overview.

DRAW SECTION – the stats are collated from studying 10+ runner
handicaps. Each race is split into three – a top third of the draw, a middle
third of the draw and a bottom third of the draw.

Wolverhampton aw 7f (2.05, 2.40) low draws
have a slight advantage although it is not a strong enough bias to be fully
confident in.

POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW) Please note – some
are price** or going* dependent 4.05 Lingfield – Falcon’s Reign **:
J Noseda – Lingfield aw; male aged 2 or 3yo; must be favourite; SR 56% ROI +30%
(win & pl 76%)

NEGATIVE STATS – Please note – some are price** or going*
dependent 4.05 Lingfield – Godber: Poor Jockey Stat – 7lb claimers
riding 2 and 3yos ALL RACES; SR 6% ROI -48% (win & pl 19%)

POOR VALUE LAST TIME OUT WINNER – The idea is to find horses
that won LTO that perform poorly in comparison to all LTO winners. The stats
for all LTO winners in Flat races the strike rate (SR) is 16.2% and losses are
-16.7%. These are my benchmarks. None today

PACE INFORMATION

Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.00) – Front
runners have a decent enough advantage. Here are the ratings for this race:
Waterloo Dock 3.9 Captain Dimitrios 3.3 Microlight 3.3 Efistorm 3.2 Mandy’s
Hero 3.1 Captainrisk 2.8 Waabel 2.8 Cut The Cackle 2.2 Fantasy Fighter 1.8 Forty
Proof 1.8

Conclusion – Waterloo Dock looks the best trading option here.

Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.30) – Here are the ratings for
this race: Royal Intruder 3.6 High Voltage 3.1 Slatey Hen 3.1 Chjimes 2.5 Custom
House 2.4 Court Applause 2.4 Picansort 2.2 Diamond Vine 1.8 Memphis Man 1.5
The Wee Chief 1.5 Conclusion – no real front runner
to trade here.

Horses mentioned in 2 or more sections – none

RECENT TRAINER FORM – FLAT (last 14 days exc. Friday) – in
strike rate order

COURSE TRAINER STATS FLAT
Lingfield trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday

(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Wolverhampton trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday
(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

www.RacingTrends.co.uk

William Hill, who now make Man City 7/1 to remain undefeated for the remainder of the Premier League season, offer 5/6 that they will win the title with their great local rivals United as runners up. ‘Spurs’ slip up at the weekend and City beating Wigan has handed the advantage to the two Manchester clubs’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.
City are now 1/2 favourites to win the title with Hills who go 5/2 United; 10 Spurs; 25 Chelsea; 80 Arsenal.
WIGAN ARE NOW 4/11 FROM 2/5 TO GO DOWN WITH Hills WHO MAKE THEM 2/1 TO STAY UP.

William Hill TITLE STRAIGHT FORECAST:
MAN CITY/MAN UTD5/6
MAN CITY/SPURS6/1
MAN UTD/MAN CITY3/1
MAN UTD/SPURS20/1
SPURS/MAN CITY20/1
SPURS/MAN UTD25/1
**City unbeaten in EPL rest of season – 7/1

Further information…graham sharpe…0780 3233702
twitter- @sharpeangle

POSITIVE TRENDS

NEGATIVE TRENDS

GENERAL STATS

Trends analysis: The market is a decent guide with 90% of the winners priced 7/1 or shorter. A run at a Grade 1 track LTO has been key with all 10 winners sharing that stat. Horses that finished in the first three LTO are worth close scrutiny as are those that were in the top three in the betting on the most recent start. In terms of age there are no clear patterns.

3.30 Haydock – Peter Marsh Chase (Grade 2 Limited handicap) – 3m

POSITIVE TRENDS

NEGATIVE TRENDS

GENERAL STATS

Trends analysis: The best starting point is to look for horses that have won at least once in their last five starts as they have provided all of the last 10 winners. In terms of price, the most successful ‘bracket’ has been between 4/1 and 8/1. Two other strong positives are horses that raced at either Haydock or Wetherby last time out, and those that have raced within the month. From a negative perspective, it seems best to avoid horses that are French bred and favourites have also struggled in recent years.

*****************************************
Dave Renham is a uk Horse Racing Researcher
For more info Click Here ==> Horse Racing Statistics
*****************************************

FA Trophy Outright: 6/1 Luton; 13/2 York; 8/1 Cambridge Utd; 9/1 Grimsby; 10/1 Kidderminster; 11/1 Gateshead; 12/1 Barrow; 14/1 Lincoln; 20/1 Newport; 20/1 Chester FC; 25/1 Alfreton; 25/1 Ebbsfleet; 25/1 Stalybridge; 25/1 Guiseley; 25/1 Dartford; 25/1 Northwich; 33/1 BAR

Joe Crilly
Press Officer

Twitter: @footy_joe

T: 0208 918 3746
M: 07850 518 164
E: jcrilly@williamhill.co.uk

William Hill Press Office; Greenside House; 50 Station Road; Wood Green; London; N22 7TP

LIVERPOOL are now 1/3 to eliminate Manchester City and 4/7 favourites to win the Carling Cup with William Hill who make City 9/4 to come back and win the tie, 5/2 to go on and win it and 7/2 to win the Carling Cup and the Premier League title.

SPURS are now 7/1 third favourites from 15/2 to win the Premier League with Hills who make City 8/15 favs with Spurs 7/1; Chelsea 40; Arsenal 66; Liverpool 100/1.’Spurs have never been as short as 7/1 in the history of the Premier League and they were 100/1 at the start of this season’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

WHERE WILL SPURS FINISH IN PREM?

WINNER7/1
2ND4/1
3RD1/1
4RD7/2
5TH7/1
6TH OR LOWER12/1

Further information…graham sharpe..07803233702
twitter-@sharpeangle

The first FA Cup draw since William Hill became an official supporter and the official betting partner of The FA Cup threw up a couple of tasty looking ties. The highest profile of which would seem to be the tie between Liverpool and Manchester United. Hills make Liverpool 11/8 the slight favourites to make it into the hat for the fifth round. United got an away win against Manchester City and they are 13/8 to win at Anfield. Liverpool are 8/11 to qualify with United Evens. It is 4/1 for the winner of this tie to win the trophy.

The other big tie of the round will see Sunderland taking on Middlesbrough in an all North East tie and Hills make Sunderland the favourites at 4/6 and 2/5 to qualify.

Following their victory against Portsmouth, Chelsea are the 4/1 favourites to win the Cup, with Tottenham 9/2 second favourites.

With a number of London teams still in the hat, Hills are offering 5/1 that two sides from the capital fight it out in the final. It is 66/1 for an all Merseyside final and 150/1 for an all North-East final.

“With Liverpool facing Manchester United, you would think that the draw is ideally suited for the London sides to stamp their authority on the competition,” said Hill’s spokesman Joe Crilly.

With three Premier League teams (Bolton, QPR and Wolves) having to face third round replays, Hills offer even money that all three get through (8/11 that at least one of those teams are knocked out). Hills go 100/1 that all three Premier League sides facing replays are knocked out.

Dave Jones, speaking exclusively to William Hill, said “The Liverpool/Manchester United fourth round draw will be one of the biggest games in the competition’s history. It will be a tough away game for United, but as they proved today when they beat Manchester City, they have the quality to go to Anfield and get a result. It will however, be very tough for them as Liverpool have been resurgent under Kenny Dalglish.”

Match Odds:

4/6 Sunderland; 5/2 Draw; 16/5 Middlesbrough
1/2 Hull; 13/5 Draw; 9/2 Crawley
10/11 West Brom; 23/10 Draw; 12/5 Norwich
8/11 Blackpool; 5/2 Draw; 14/5 Sheffield Wednesday
10/11 Stevenage; 23/10 Draw; 12/5 Notts County
11/2 Watford; 16/5 Draw; 4/11 Tottenham
11/8 Liverpool; 21/10 Draw; 13/8 Manchester United
2/1 Derby; 11/5 Draw; 11/10 Stoke
1/1 Everton; 11/5 Draw; 11/5 Fulham

How many Premier League teams will reach the final: 8/15 two; 11/8 one; 33/1 none

5/1 All London Final
66/1 All Merseyside
150/1 All North East (Middlesbrough, Sunderland, Newcastle)

To Qualify:

2/5 Sunderland; 7/4 Middlesbrough
1/1 Manchester United; 8/11 Liverpool

FA Cup Outright: 4/1 Chelsea; 9/2 Tottenham; 11/2 Manchester United; 8/1 Arsenal; 9/1 Liverpool; 16/1 Newcastle; 16/1 Stoke; 16/1 Sunderland; 25/1 Everton; 28/1 Fulham; 33/1 Aston Villa; 33/1 West Brom; 50/1 Bolton; 50/1 Leicester; 50/1 Norwich; 50/1 Southampton; 50/1 Swansea; 66/1 BAR

Prem Sides To Qualify:

3-5: 66/1
6-8: 6/4
9-10: 4/7
11: 6/1

Further Information…Joe Crilly…07850 518 164

ALTHOUGH his 70th birthday was ruined by United’s shock defeat by Blackburn, Sir Alex Ferguson is just 3/1 still to be in charge at Old Trafford in 2015 – and 13/8 to depart the job in 2012. ‘Sir Alex may have considered his future after the Blackburn game but he’ll no doubt be determined to make amends for one of the worst results of his time as United boss’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.
Following the game Hills make Man C 8/13 Prem title favourites with United now 7/4.
STEVE KEAN IS NOW EVENS WITH William Hill STILL TO BE BLACKBURN BOSS ON THE FIRST DAY OF NEXT SEASON, 8/11 TO BE GONE BY THEN. ‘Steve Kean continues to confound his critics – and punters convinced he’d be gone by now’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

William Hill- when will Sir Alex cease to be United boss?

2012 13/8
2013 5/2
2014 11/4
2015 OR LATER 3/1

Further information……graham sharpe.,…..07803233702
twitter- @sharpeangle

William Hill now make Spurs 14/1 third favourites to win the Premier League title, 1/3 to finish in the top four and 6/4 favourites to finish above everyone else in the ‘Without Mancs’ market. ‘Spurs are now serious title contenders and odds on to finish in the top four’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Prem title….5/6 Man C; 5/4 Man U; 14 Spurs; 25 Chelsea; 40 Arsenal; 100 Liverpool
TOP 4- 1/3 Spurs; 4/9 Chelsea; 11/10 Arsenal; 5/2 Liverpool
Without Mancs- 6/4 Spurs; 13/8 Chelsea; 5/2 Arsenal; 8 Liverpool.
RELEGATION- 1/2 Blackburn(6/4 stay up); 4/7 Wigan (5/4); 8/11 Bolton (Evens); 6/4 Wolves; 2/1 Swansea; 3/1 QPR; 5/1 Norwich

Further information…graham sharpe..07803233702
twitter-@sharpeangle

William Hill have lengthened Spurs from 18/1 to 20/1 fourth favourites for the Premier League title after their defeat at Stoke – and Harry Redknapp’s men are now 4/6 to secure a top four place at the end of the campaign. ‘Recent exertions seemed to catch up with Spurs but it is difficult to believe they will drop out of the hunt for a Champions League place just yet’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

William Hill:
TITLE ODDS…8/13 City (9/1 unbeaten all season; 66/1 to win all 4 trophies); 9/4 Man U; 12 Chelsea; 20 Spurs; 25 Arsenal; 100 Liverpool
WITHOUT MANCS….11/10 Chelsea; 9/4 Spurs; 11/4 Arsenal; 7 Liverpool; 50 Newcastle 200 Everton; 250 Villa
TOP 4 FINISH….2/5 Chelsea; 4/6 Spurs; 11/10 Arsenal; 15/8 Liverpool; 33 Newcastle; 50 Everton
TOP SCORER…..6/4 RVP; 5/2 Aguero; 4 Rooney; 8 Dzeko; 16 Adebayor; Ba; 25 Balotelli.

Further information…graham sharpe…07803233702
twitter- @sharpeangle

BLACKBURN are now odds-on to go down with William Hill who quote them as 4/6 second favourites for relegation – and offer 11/10 that they will avoid the drop. ‘I can only imagine Steve Kean puts brollies up indoors, and walks under ladders – he couldn’t even get any luck when the pitch was half full of black cats and he is still hot favourite to be the next Premier League manager to leave his club’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe. Kean is now Even money favourite with Hills to be the next Premier League manager to leave his club; 2/1 still to be Blackburn boss on the first day of next season, and 4/11 not to.

William Hill….Relegation: 4/9 Wigan (13/8 stay up); 4/6 Blackbunr (11/10); Evens Bolton (8/11); 9/4 Swansea; 5/2 Wolves; 10/3 Norwich; 9/2 QPR; 5 Sunderland; 9 Fulham/WBA.

NEXT PREM BOSS TO GO….Evens Kean; 15/8 Coyle; 6 AVB; Martinez; 10 McLeish; 12 McCarthy; 20 Moyes. Others on request.

Further information….graham sharpe…0780 3233702
twitter- @sharpeangle