Champions League Betting Strategy
Big Mikes European Final Trade
Big Mike is an ex accountant who now uses his love of numbers to attack the bookmakers in a way they tend not to like.
The old name for a bookmaker is Turf Accountant. That should give you some clue that if you want to beat them at their own game you too should be pondering the numbers not just your heart or gut instinct.
Champions League Final day brings a raft of offers from various bookmakers.
Below Big Mike highlights which he feels are the best ones and describes how he is playing them himself.
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Barcelona v Man Utd
So many Bookmakers are offering `specials` I think the best way to achieve
a `profit` is to trade the game rather than just rely on the correct scores
without the `in run` benefit.
The best 4 offers for me are :-
a) Paddy Power refunding stakes if Barca DON’T win in 90 minutes.
b) Bet365 offer a free `In Play` bet up to £50 providing you use them
for a
correct score bet.
c) VC Bet offers a full refund on losing bets if either Rooney or
Messi score in the match.
d) Betfred – ` If Man Utd don’t manage to beat Barça in 90 minutes or
extra
time but win the cup on penalties, I’LL REFUND ALL LOSING PRE-MATCH STAKES
up to £500!` Sincerely Fred !
So on inspection you could arrange a situation where you can`t lose but the
layers are very clever – for instance a win in Extra Time would scupper the
Betfred promotion etc etc.
So I am playing as follows :-
£25 on No Goalscorer with Bet365 (Own Goals don’t count) remembering
I have
a free £50 in play bet to come @ 8/1
£50 on Barca to win in 90 minutes @ 11/10 with VC bet (Stake saved if
Messi/Rooney score)
£50 on 1-1 Paddy Power @ 6/1 (Money back Special)
£20 Man Utd to win 1-0 @ boylessports @ 10/1 (they have offers but not
realistic and we have to have a bet on a possible outcome to WIN).
Alternatively use Betfair 0-1 line.
£20 Barca to win 1-0 @ Paddy Power @ 11/2 or alternatively use Betfair
1-0 line.
£25 Over 2.5 goals scored @ 5/4 VC bet (Stake saved if Messi/Rooney
score)
OK this is NOT watertight – a 2-0 score for either side with the superstars
NOT scoring will not give us a Profit but it’s a little strategy which will
give a bit of interest especially as the scores can be traded on Betfair
during the match.
Good luck – but do remember to trade the match.
Regards,
Mike