2.25 Newmarket Friday – Cherry Hinton 10 year trends

Cherry Hinton – 6f (Group 2) 2yo (fillies)

POSITIVE TRENDS

Favourites (inc. joints): 6 wins from 10 for a profit of £3.00 (ROI +30%).
LTO Favourites: Horses that were favourite LTO have provided 6 of the winners from 27 qualifiers for a small profit of £1.75 (ROI +6.5%).
LTO winners: 9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd LTO (6 won).
LTO course: 7 of the last 10 winners ran at Royal Ascot LTO.
LTO race type: All of the last 10 winners raced in a fillies’ only race LTO.
LTO price: All of the last 10 winners were priced 10/1 or shorter LTO.
Trainers: Richard Hannon has had 2 winners from 7 runners (and one further horse placed).
Jockeys: Richard Hughes and Frankie Dettori have both won the race twice in the last 10 years.
Running style: 8 of the last 10 winners raced up with or close to the pace.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Price: Horses priced 16/1 or bigger have provided 0 winners from 37.
Market: 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourites combined have a poor record with just 1 win from 31 for a loss of £26.50 (ROI -85.5%).
Position LTO: Horses finishing 3rd or worse LTO have provided just 1 winner from 40 qualifiers for a loss of £25.00 (ROI -62.5%).

GENERAL STATS

Fate of the favs: 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 2, 1

Trends analysis: This race has been a good one for market leaders with 60% of the races seeing a winning favourite. Indeed, horses that were favourite LTO have an excellent record also. Last time out winners (and runners-up) have a good record also. In terms of price, there have been no wins for horses priced 16/1 or bigger, while LTO price has been important also with all of the last 10 winners having been priced 10/1 or shorter in their most recent start.

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Dave Renham is a uk Horse Racing Researcher
For more info Click Here ==> Horse Racing Statistics
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