3.00 Haydock – Temple Stakes – 15 year trends
3.00 Haydock Temple Stakes – 5f (3yo+, Group 2) – 15 year trends for the race
POSITIVE TRENDS
| Recent wins: 14 of the last 15 winners had won at least once in their last four starts. |
| Class LTO: Horses that raced in Listed class or class 2 LTO have provided 7 winners. Although there have been 60 qualifiers, such qualifiers have produced a decent profit of £43.50 (ROI +72.5%). |
| Market: 12 of the last 15 winners came from the top 4 in the betting. |
| Price: 12 of the last 15 winners have been priced 10/1 or lower (6 of the winners were priced 7/2 or shorter). |
| Career wins: Horses that have previously won 8 or more races in their careers have provided 5 winners from 27 qualifiers for a profit of £34.50 (ROI +127.8%). |
| Position LTO: Horses that finished 1st or 2nd LTO have provided 8 of the last 15 winners. |
NEGATIVE TRENDS
| Recent form: Horses that have failed to win in their last four starts have provided just 1 winner from 54 qualifiers for a loss of £37.00 (ROI -68.5%). |
| Distance winners: Horses that have failed to win over 5f in their careers have provided just 1 winner from 28 for a loss of £24.50 (ROI -87.5%). |
GENERAL STATS
| Favourites (inc. joints): 5 wins from 18 for a small loss of 51 pence. |
| Fate of the favourites: 1, 1, 7, 3, 4, 5, 1/3, 4/5, 1/3, 3, 11, 1, 3, 10, 2 |
| Sex: Fillies and mares have won 5 races from 35 (SR 14.3%); colts and geldings have won 10 races from 108 runners (SR 9.3%). |
| Age: 3 year olds have provided 3 winners from 27 (SR 11.1%); 4 year olds have provided 4 winners from 36 (SR 11.1%); 5 year olds have provided 3 winners from 29 (SR 10.3%); 6 year olds have provided 2 winners from 27 (SR 7.4%); 7 year old plus have provided 3 winners from 24 (SR 12.5%). |
| Trainers: The Berry stable has won the race four times – 3 wins for Jack in ’95, ’96 and ’98, while son Alan landed the race last year. |
| Trends analysis: A good starting point is to look for horses that have won at least once in their last four starts. From there, preference would be for horses priced 10/1 and shorter, unless they have failed to win over 5f in their careers. Horses that raced in Listed class or class 2 contests LTO have been profitable to follow and are probably underrated by the betting public. Females have outperformed their male counterparts, while age wise there seems little bias. |