Thirsk Racing Tip

Our usual free Saturday horse racing tip from Guy over at the Mathematician website.

to visit his site click here ==> Betting Advice

=======================

T h i r s k  2.40

For Latest Odds on this race see

http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2012-05-05/thirsk/14-40/betting/

This 6f Classified Stakes race is a statistical mess and I
dont see a strong edge. All I can say is that in this and
similar races no fillies have won with under 7 runs and
none came from maidens so LOLLINA PAULINA and
SHOW FLOWER have plenty to prove. Horses with 1
run this year like Sky CROSSING have underperformed.
NEARLY A GIFT isnt right. FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN
has a difficult absence to overcome as most winners are
either seasonal debutants or ran within 2 weeks. That’s
narrowed it down to three admittedly unsafe options. I
respect DARK FALCON and FORTROSE ACADEMY.
I think the best profile belongs to HENRY BEE.

* Horses from 3yo maidens
* Running within 2 weeks
* Male horses
* 5 or more career starts
* Similar horses had a 4-6 record
* The 2003-2004 winners of this had this profile

Selection – HENRY BEE 7/1 Each Way

Coral – BoyleSports – Betfred –  Stan James