Strong Horse Racing Stat

The below is a newish section fromThe Mathematician’s very comprehensive daily racing message.

He calls it the Strongest Statisic Today

In short it points to something interesting found

through his research.

Some days it may point to a horse to think about backing.

Other days it may be a strong stat that could lead you to opposing a short priced favourite.

=====================

S t r o n g e s t   S t a t i s t i c  T o d a y

Uttoxeter 2.10

VICTORIA ROSE 10/1

Another Positive Statistic today. I dont expect her
to win rated lower than most of her rivals but she is
a double figure price and comes out curiously well so
I wouldnt put anyone off having a small interest bet.

* All Mares Novice Chases run in January
* Horses from Handicap Hurdles
* Between 7 and 20 career starts
* Running over 19f or more last time
* Between 1 and 4 runs that season
* There were 8 horses with that profile
* They finished W 2 W W W W W W
* VICTORIA ROSE  shares that profile

www.mathematician-betting.co.uk

PS price has come in a  bit since Mathematician Members got this earlier today. Now best priced 9/1 at VC

.

Mane-chester United? 33-1 For Rooney Horse To Win At Royal Ascot

With Wayne Rooney becoming the latest, and most high-profile, footballer to venture into the world of horse racing ownership, bookmakers William Hill have priced up a variety of special bets on his first equine purchase.

Trained by Tom Dascombe, Hills quote the horse at 33-1 to win at Royal Ascot 2012 following the success of Michael Owen’s Brown Panther, also trained by Dascombe, last year.

With Chester racecourse a well-known footballer and WAG haunt, the firm have priced the horse at 12-1 to score at the Cheshire venue’s feature meeting in May 2012.

Hills offer 200-1 for Rooney to follow in the footsteps of former England player Mick Channon and take up a horse racing trainers’ licence by the end of 2020.

William Hill spokeswoman Lucy Rhodes said “Wayne Rooney is the most high-profile footballer yet to join the league of equine ownership and the horse must be pretty special to tempt him into this new venture. Who knows, this could be the start of a new retirement fund, or even a new profession, for the footballing star”

First Wayne Rooney-owned horse to win at Royal Ascot 2012: 33-1

First Wayne Rooney-owned horse to win at Chester May meeting 2012: 12-1

Rooney To take up a horse racing trainers’ licence by the end of 2020: 200-1

Kai Rooney to win a race under rules by 2030: 100-1

The horse to win at Royal Ascot 2013 and England to win the World Cup in 2014 with Rooney on the pitch: 1000-1

Kai Rooney to play for England by 2030 and the horse to win at Royal Ascot 2013: 1000-1

The horse to have a hair transplant during its lifetime: 1000-1

Hedging An Each Way Double

The following is a snippet from today’s message from Big Mike.
Big Mike is an ex accountant who know lieks to use his knowledge of numbers to take cash of the bookmakers.

His followers get daily messages with an array of strategic bets on both horse racing & sport.
The following snippet I thought posting up here as it is an educational piece you can learn from showing you how to hedge an each way double.

More from Big Mike at ===> BIG MIKE BETTING

=========================================

Hedging An Each Way Double

The best way of showing how to play a hedge is with an actual example.

AWESOME FOURSOME

4 x £4 ew doubles

Tarn Hows 5/2 & Real Milan 8/1 12.05 Uttoxeter
with Remix 7/2 & Lady Lyricist 12/1 350 Wolves

Stakes of £40 at Bet365 ‘Best Odds’

In the first race Real Milan managed to win at 12/1 and Tarn Hows was
placed at 5/2.

So in effect because of the price of the winner in the first race we had
£52 running on the win side of both Lady Lyricist and also Remix.

I emailed all members as we had to protect this vast windfall. Neither of
the two horses were expected to win so we had to retrieve something in
order to live another day.

The first thing to do is to work out how much would be won if either of the
doubles would have landed. At 7/2 the Remix double would have produced app
£180 and if Lady Lyricist had obliged we were talking well over £1,000.

So we had plenty of oil in the tank. My initial suggestion was to retrieve
stakes at least by laying £4 pre start on each horse back to Betfair. I
then suggested placing mines (lays in running) and in fairness to Remix a
good return was made as the horse was laid down to 2.02 on the win site.
Lady Lyricist was last seen in the middle of Wolverhampton at 9pm last
night so nothing back from her save the initial £4 lay.

On the place site it was a different kettle of fish as Remix – at 7/2 – in
effect gave 1.7 return if placed yet was layable at 1.28 before the start.
Similarly Lady Lyricist at 28/1 would be the equivalent of 6.6 on the place
site yet again layable at a considerable advantage at 3.2. At a stroke both
horses could have been laid at least for £26 (Half the gross bet) and the
cost would have been app £7 on Remix and just over £70 on Lady Lyricist. It
may seem a lot to hedge but consider that the place return if successful
from Remix would have been £35+ and on LL the place return at SP would have
been £250+ – so there was much to save.

Always remember that these huge doubles are rarely going to land – so
evasive action is a must.

Horse Racing Laying System

The folloing three selections come from a long term profitable laying system
put t0gether by www.RacingTrends.co.uk
The first on in the 11.40 has already raced and lost at 5/1 SP
Two more live ones for this evening however.
Before beating into them however Id urge you to read more about how best to use these.  See the old post on the racing trends blog at
11.40 Lingfield – Emerald Smile
6.20 Wolverhampton – Adranian
9.20 Wolverhampton – Swords

Horse Racing – Our Necks On The Line!

4.40 Wolverhampton
If your horse finishes second beaten by up to and including a neck in this race, we will refund your losing single stake.
Conditions

Horses On Their First Run In A Handicap Race

Horses On Their First Run In A Handicap Race

Punters are often trying to spot a big sting or a planned gamble. A classic perception is that some horses are intentionally run badly in order to give them a very lenient first handicap mark.

The stats show however that betting every horse on it’s first handicap run is a very fast track route to the poor house.

However NOT all first time handicap runners are a bad bet. With some research and number crunching it is possible to identify profitable angles for backers or alternately sources of good lays for Betfair.

Dave Renham has crunched several years of racing history and written it all up in a couple of free to view articles.

Take a look here

12bet

12Bet are a major asian bookmaker whome you may have noted as
shirt sponsors of Wigan Football club or Seville in Spain.

They are more suitable for sports betting such as soccer
perhaps than horse racing.
They are the sort of bookmaker pro or heavy hitting soccer punters
gravitate towards as typically they are happy to accept much larger betting
stakes than most uk bookmaker equivalents.
There is a free £25 bet for new accounts.

For More Info Click Here ==> 12bet

12bet

12Bet are a major asian bookmaker whome you may have noted as
shirt sponsors of Wigan Football club or Seville in Spain.

They are more suitable for sports betting such as soccer
perhaps than horse racing.
They are the sort of bookmaker pro or heavy hitting soccer punters
gravitate towards as typically they are happy to accept much larger betting
stakes than most uk bookmaker equivalents.
There is a free £25 bet for new accounts.

For More Info Click Here ==> 12bet

BetFan

The betfan free betting newsletter provides lots on info on both horse racing and soccer betting tipsters.

For More info click here — BetFan

Horse Racing Tip at Chester

A small snippet from a much larger and detailed message from Guy over at the Mathematician site.

Interesting point he makes re Barry Hills last runner as a trainer.

If you were retiring and in Barry Hill’s position wouldn’t you do your best to sign off in style?

——————————————————

C h e s t e r  3.00

5/4 Na Zdorovie, 9/2 Fa4iz, 13/2 Forest Edge, 8/1 Finbar
12/1 Sir Trevor, 12/1 Sugarpine, 16/1 Always Eager
16/1 Cades Reef, Rapid Heat Lad, 25/1 Amadeus Wolfe Tone
28/1 Gabrial4s Princess, 28/1 No Plan B
40/1 King Of Paradise, 40/1 Lord Franklin.

Barry Hills with a great record in this race and on his
last day as a trainer will want to win on his favourite
track with NA ZDOROVIE. It would be fitting with a
horse whose translation means Good Health. I think
he will win with her. She has twice missed the break.
For all we know that was deliberate to set up a sweet
finale for the Trainer. There are a handful of dangers
but you would have thought some would have been a
lot shorter in the market and some apear weak. I am
expecting NA ZDOROVIE to win. She’s be a lovely
each way double for those liking such controversial
bets but I still see NA ZDOROVIE as a decent win bet.

A shortish price however at 5/6 Hills