RacingTrends For Park Hill (Doncaster) Stakes

4.10 Doncaster – Park Hill (Doncaster) Stakes – Listed (6f) 2yo

POSITIVE TRENDS

Favourites (inc. joints): There have been 5 winning favourites from 14 and backing all selections would have produced a profit of £3.46 (ROI +24.7%).
Price: Horses priced 11/1 or shorter have provided 9 of the last 10 winners.
LTO favourite: 5 of the last 10 winners were favourite LTO.
LTO Price: 8 of the last 10 winners had an SP of 8/1 or less on their last start.
Days since last run: 9 of the last 10 winners had run within the past 24 days.
Position LTO: 6 of the last 10 winners won LTO. Backing all LTO winners would have produced a profit of £5.13 (ROI +16.5%).
Trainers: 2 winners a piece for Brian Meehan and Mark Johnston.
Distance LTO: 9 of the last 10 winners raced over 6f LTO.
Course LTO: Horses that raced at York LTO have produced 5 winners from 17 for a small profit of £2.13 (ROI +12.5%).

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Female runners: Just 1 win from 19 for fillies for a loss of £16.50 (ROI -86.8%).

GENERAL STATS

Breeding: British bred runners have provided 5 winners from 47 (SR 10.6%); Irish bred runners have provided 4 winners from 37 (SR 10.8); US bred runners have 1 winner from 11 (SR 9.1%); other countries combined are 0 from q (SR 0%).

Trends analysis: This race has plenty of positive trends. Favourites have a good record as do LTO favourites and in general the market has got this race right – 9 winners priced 11/1 or shorter and just one big shock at 50/1 (Imperial Guest in 2008). Horses that ran over 6f LTO do have an edge winning 90% of the races from 65% of the total runners. LTO winners also should be noted. Both Brian Meehan and Mark Johnston have been successful in the race twice (Johnston also won it in 2001).

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Dave Renham is a uk Horse Racing Researcher
For more info Click Here ==> Horse Racing Statistics
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