Saturday Racing Tip
The following horse racing tip below comes from Guy over at Mathematician Betting
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NEWMARKET 2.35
Bet365 Ben Marshall Stakes (Listed Race)
(CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m
9/4 Alexandros, 5/2 Secrecy, 11/2 Nationalism, 7/1 Kingsfor 8/1 The Cheka, 12/1 Balducci, 14/1 Mia´s Boy, 50/1 Letty.
This is a Listed Class race over 8f. Newmarket has 24 similar races at this time of year.
I can tell you horses from a 7f race had a 0-60 record in these 24 races.
SECRECY – MIA´S BOY KINGSFORT and BALDUCCI all have that against them.
It’s easy to oppose LETTY. This leaves 3 runners and all 3 have decent chances in an open race.
ALEXANDROS is one option but I didnt see a good enough case for him.
Only 4 of the 24 winners were exposed and all 4 dropped in distance and none like
ALEXANDROS came from a Mile or less (0-29) and as he has just 1 run since July I wasnt convinced.
THE CHEKA may well go well but he also has just one run since July and it may leave him short of full fitness.
NATIONALISM for me.
NATIONALISM is a 3 year old and they have a good record
and several lighter raced ones like him have won. I think it is very significant his half brother won this race in 2004
and he is being asked to do the same.
His low draw killed his Chance in the Cambridgeshire last time.
He started favourite for that race and there were rumours he was a Group horse at the time.
With more improvement than most I love his chance in this.