West Brom v Newcastle
Sat 5.30pm – Live on BBC1
Money-Back Special
If there is a goal scored after the 85th minute, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on this match. Conditions
Money-Back Special – Stuff of Championships!
August 8, 2009 By Leave a Comment
Money-Back Special – Dan The Man
August 8, 2009 By Leave a Comment
3.15 Haydock
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second to Dancourt in this race, we will refund your losing single stake. Conditions
Money-Back Special – Dan The Man!
August 8, 2009 By Leave a Comment
3.15 Haydock
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second to Dancourt in this race, we will refund your losing single stake. Conditions
Football – Bet of The Week
August 8, 2009 By Leave a Comment
FOOTBALL BET OF THE WEEK
2 pts West Bromwich Albion to beat Newcastle in the Championship 13/10 Bet365 (Saturday 8th August 5.30pm ko – Live on the BBC)
blog price comment: that price has now gone best available as I type is 11/10 Betfred
As you can probably tell from my ante post preview, I’m not expecting Newcastle to do very well this season. The club is in turmoil. Owner Mike Ashley cannot sell the club for love nor money and until he does everything is in limbo. Alan Shearer has now made television commitments for the new season and probably won’t be their new manager, which may not be a bad thing. As it stands, Chris Hughton is caretaker boss and he is literally working on a week by week basis, knowing that somebody else is likely to come in and take over sooner rather than later. Consequently, Newcastle have brought in no new players and are slowly offloading their top earners. Michael Owen, Obafemi Martins, David Edgar, Sebastian Bassong and Habib Beye have all left the club whilst Danny Guthrie is currently injured. The departures or Owen and Martins severely weaken the Newcastle attack but even more crucial is the departure of defenders Bassong and Beye, leaving a threadbare looking back line. They were beaten 6-1 by Leyton Orient in a pre season friendly recently and their preparations for the new season could not have been any worse.
West Brom have lost manager Tony Mowbray to Celtic but they have a promising replacement in Roberto Di Matteo and more importantly, they have kept their squad together. Scott Carson, Giannni Zuiverloon, Neil Clemet, Robert Koren, Jonathan Greening, Chris Brunt and James Morrison should all do very well at this level whilst Swindon’s prolific goalscorer Simon Cox has been added to the attack. The Baggies are favourites to win the Championship and I don’t think you will get too many opportunities to back them at odds against this season. Newcastle are artificially short for the title in my opinion just because of the size of the club. They will be a major scalp to every Championship side and I think they will be lucky to scrape into the play offs once everything has been sorted out. West Brom should really be odds on in my opinion and I can see money coming for them before kickof.
The Oracle
—————–
The Oracle is a professional soccer odds compiler by trade.
He runs his own soccer betting advice site in his spare time.
One thing you will find there is a FREE football betting course / guide.
Interested? click here == > football betting course
Saturday Horse Betting
August 8, 2009 By Leave a Comment
I have gone with IMPERIAL SWORD at Ayr.
To be honest if I had complete faith in the Trainer and could rely on the fact
he is doing his best I might have upgraded him as a bet. Its a very hard yard to read though.
IMPERIAL SWORD was 2nd in this race last year and should have won.
Ran well last time. He will probably be in last place 3 furlongs out and will come late.
Happy enough with the 8/1 but I know we are taking a risk with the stable.
AYR 5.50
CHAMPAGNE G H MUMM GRAND CRU APPRENTICE
HANDICAP(CLASS 5)(3yo+ 0-70) 6f
4/1 Hitches Dubai, 9/2 Botham, 9/2 Downhill Skier,
11/2 Feeling Fresh, 7/1 Imperial Sword, 10/1 Thunder Bay,
12/1 Almost Married, 12/1 Liberty Trail, 25/1 Coconut Moon, 33/1 Forrest Star.
* 317 Similar low grade handicaps at this time of year
* Only seven of the 317 winners came from Maidens
* Those that came from 5f maidens were 0-42
* HITCHES DUBAI fails that
* Horses aged 4 from maidens were 0-28
* HITCHES DUBAI fails that as well so he is avoided
* ALMOST MARRIED is a negative
* He won last years race but not with just 1 run and 81 days off
* FEELING FRESH has a poor profile in my view
* Horses from 8f or more with 3 or less runs that year are 2-78
* None did it with 13 or more runs
* FEELING FRESH fails that and looks opposable
* THUNDER BAY has a poor profile
* FORREST STAR – COCONUT MOON are out of form mares
* LIBERTY TRAIL has an unsafe profile
* All the above horses are negatives
* DOWNHILL SKIER is drawn 1 and I dont like that
* The last 12 handicaps here with 9 + runners
* 11 of the 12 winners were drawn 5 or higher
* He beat IMPERIAL SWORD last time out
* IMPERIAL SWORD was second in this race last year
* He was also unlucky in running
* BOTHAM is well drawn and has no obvious flaws
* I prefer IMPERIAL SWORD and Botham
SELECTION
IMPERIAL SWORD
Blog Comment was 8/1 or more earlier
Now 7/1 Betfred, Corals , Tote
Guy Ward
The Mathematician
to visit guys site click here => free horse racing tips
Market Bias Horse Racing System
August 8, 2009 By Leave a Comment
The Market Bias Racing System is one from the betting think tank over at PunterProfits.com
It is an approach currently being monitored on the full member forums over there. Its early days in the testing but it is doing well so far with a decent level stakes profit.
The general concept of is was to use historical research to indentify race situations where the outsider / long shots had a better than anticipated strike rate.
Forecast odds price bands are used to group horses into groups of fancied, middled odds & Outsiders. ( hence the Market Bias name tag )
There is also a filter based on horse age as this proved important in the historical research.
And remember the choice of race type / course etc is based on historical research.
So quite simply the system tells you..
1 -this particular race falls into a long term past profitable category for outsiders.
2 – the horse falls into the desired age band. ( its not too inexperienced or to past it )
3 – these are the horses today from that race that fit the price band.
Most often there may be two or so per race.
Overall its an interesting approach.
I think the ideal place to back these horses is Betfair.
Betfairs 20% better than SP big public quote is a bit misleading.
The reality is that short odds horses there go off very close to SP.
Long shots however on Betfair very often pay out well in excess of 20% above SP ( or any early bookmaker price )
Any how the selections for today are as follows
4.25 hayd
Atlantic Beach
Flying Applause
Jack Rackham
5.00 hay
Kashimin
Supermassive Muse
Nb there is quite a bit going on over at PunterProfits.com
There are research articles, research reports, historic data downloads on certain areas. Also monitored systems by the site organisers and by clients alike. ( the research provided is a great starting point for anyone seeking to create their own educated systems )
Any reader of sports betting blog is welcome to test the site out with a one month free trial. ( you will have to stick card details in as they do not want anomononous nobodies with a throw away email address in their private forums )
Your first month will be free however. Its a good way to judge if suitable for your self.
See their contact page and email the admin email address quoting the free trial for sports betting blog viewers and you will get free trial join instructions sent back to you.
To go to their site now click here ==> Horse Racing Systems