Happy New Shear As Championship Gets Off To Flying Start

HAPPY NEW SHEAR!
With the possibility of another Newcastle takeover in the pipeline William Hill have cut their odds for Alan Shearer to be in place as Newcastle boss on January 1st, 2010 from 9/4 to 2/1 joint favourite along with current caretaker manager Chris Hughton.

Joe Kinnear, who has been suggesting that he may be lined up to return, is 10/1.

“With the Newcastle situation still extremely volatile it is difficult to rule out anybody as a potential Manager for the club but there continues to be sustained support for Shearer to be back in charge at the turn of the year”, said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Hill’s odds – Who Will Be In Charge of Newcastle on January 1st, 2010: 2/1 Alan Shearer, 2/1 Chris Hughton, 7/2 Colin Calderwood, 8/1 Kevin Keegan, 10/1 Joe Kinnear, 16/1 Alan Curbishley, 16/1 Aidy Boothroyd, 25/1 Lee Clark, 25/1 Steve Bruce, 25/1 Glenn Hoddle.

Hill’s odds – Where Will Newcastle be on January 1st, 2010: 8/1 – 1st, 8/1 – 2nd, 5/2 – 3rd-6th, 15/8 – 7th-12th, 3/1 – 13th-21st, 9/1 – 22nd-24th.

WHO WILL HAVE A CHAMPION START TO THE SEASON?
With the Championship season kicking off on Friday night Hills make Middlesbro Evens to beat Sheffield Utd 11/5 with the draw offered at 11/5 in Friday night’s opening game. Hills have opened a book on which of Saturday’s Championship matches will produce the fastest goal and also the most goals.

Hill’s odds – Game With Most Goals (Saturday 3pm kick-offs): 11/2 Cardiff v Scunthorpe, 11/2 QPR v Blackpool, 13/2 Reading v Nott’m Forest, 13/2 Sheffield Wednesday v Barnsley, 13/2 Watford v Doncaster, 7/1 Crystal Palace v Plymouth, 7/1 Derby v Peterborough, 8/1 Leicester v Swansea, 8/1 Preston v Bristol City.

Hill’s odds – Game With Fastest Goal: 6/1 Cardiff v Scunthorpe, 6/1 QPR v Blackpool, 13/2 Reading v Nott’m Forest, 13/2 Sheffield Wednesday v Barnsley, 13/2 Watford v Doncaster, 7/1 Crystal Palace v Plymouth, 7/1 Derby v Peterborough, 7/1 Leicester v Swansea, 7/1 Preston v Bristol City.

William Hills Latest Championship Odds: 6/1 West Brom, 7/1 Middlesbrough, 8/1 Newcastle, 11/1 Ipswich, 12/1 Sheff Utd, 16/1 Reading 16/1 Nott’m Forest, 18/1 QPR, 22/1 Cardiff, 25/1 Leicester, 33/1 Derby, 33/1 Preston, 33/1 Bristol City, 40/1 Swansea, 40/1 C. Palace, 50/1 Peterborough, 50/1 Sheff Weds, 80/1 Coventry, 100/1 Watford, 100/1 Plymouth, 125/1 Doncaster, 200/1 Blackpool, 200/1 Scunthorpe, 200/1 Barnsley.

Hills odds – Championship Relegation: 6/4 Scunthorpe, 7/4 Barnsley, 7/4 Blackpool, 5/2 Plymouth, 3/1 Doncaster, 7/2 Watford, 5/1 Coventry, 13/2 Peterborough, 7/1 Swansea, 8/1 Preston, 8/1 Bristol City, 8/1 Sheff Weds, 8/1 Leicester, 8/1 C. Palace, 10/1 Newcastle, 11/1 Derby, 12/1 Nott’m Forest, 20/1 Cardiff, 20/1 QPR, 25/1 Reading, 33/1 Ipswich, 33/1 Sheff Utd, 33/1 Middlesbrough, 40/1 West Brom.

Hill’s odds – Top Scorer: 14/1 Michael Chopra, 16/1 Afonso Alves, 16/1 Ched Evans, 16/1 Ross McCormack, 16/1 Simon Cox, 16/1 Tuncay Sanli, 16/1 Leroy Lita, 20/1 Andrew Carroll, 20/1 Matt Fryatt, 20/1 Rob Earnshaw, 20/1 Shane Long, 25/1 Darius Henderson, 25/1 Mark Viduka, 25/1 Roman Bednar, 25/1 Shola Ameobi, 25/1 Craig Mackail-Smith, 25/1 Freddie Sears, 25/1 Heidar Helguson, 25/1 Xisco, 25/1 Nathan Tyson, 25/1 Noel Hunt, 25/1 Luke Moore, 33/1 Dexter Blackstock, 33/1 Gary Hooper, 33/1 Aaron McLean, 33/1 David McGoldrick, 33/1 Jeremie Aliadiere, 33/1 Rob Hulse, 33/1 Nick Maynard, 33/1 Timas Priskin, 40/1 Neil Mellor, 40/1 Marcus Tudgay, 40/1 Steve Howard, 40/1 Tommy Smith, 40/1 Freddie Eastwood, 40/1 Ishmael Miller, 40/1 Nathan Ellington, 401/ Rowan Vine, 40/1 Stehen Dobbie, 50/1 Jamie Ward, 50/1 Jay Bothroyd, 50/1 Jon Steed, 50/1 Kevin Lisbie, 50/1 Will Hoskins, 50/1 Billy Sharp, 50/1 Clinton Morrison, 50/1 Craig Beattie, 50/1 Jon Parkin, 50/1 Victor Moses, 50/1 George Boyd, 66/1 Jason Euell, 66/1 Patrick Agyemang, 66/1 Akpo Sodje, 66/1 Bradley Wright-Phillips, 66/1 Brett Ormerod, 66/1 Danny Graham, 66/1 Gorka Pintado, 66/1 Iain Hume, 66/1 James Hayter, 66/1 Paul Hayes, 66/1 Paul Heffernan, 80/1 Jonathan Macken, 80/1 Leon Clarke, 80/1 John Akinde, 100/1 Kayode Odejayi, 100/1 Rory Fallon.

Further information from Graham Sharpe…..07803 233702.

Are Celtic Gunner Lose Battle Of Britain ?

ARE CELTIC GUNNER LOSE BATTLE OF BRITAIN?

William Hill have installed Arsenal are red hot 1/ 4 favourites to win the latest Champions League ‘Battle of Britain’ against Celtic, who are 11/4 to progress from the tie. Hills make Arsenal 13/10 favourites to win the first leg, albeit they are away, with Celtic 7/4 and the draw 21/10.

LATEST William Hill CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ODDS; 9/2 Barcelona; Real Madrid; 11/2 Chelsea; 13/2 Manchester United; 9/1 Liverpool; 10/1 Inter; 12/1 Arsenal; 20/1 AC Milan; Juventus; 25 Bayern Munich; 100/1 Celtic.

HOW FAR WILL ARSENAL GO IN CHAMPIONS LEAGUE?

Fail to qualify for group stage 11/4
Fail to get out of the groups 11/2
Lose in the 1st knockout round 5/2
Lose in quarter finals 7/2
Lose in Semi Finals 8/1
Runner Up 10/1
Winner 12/1

WILL UNITED BEN START ENGLAND’S FIRST WORLD CUP FINALS MATCH?
WITH BEN FOSTER likely to get the nod to replace injured Edwin van der Saar in Manchester United’s goal, William Hill are offering him at 7/1 to start in goal for England when they play their first match of the 2010 World Cup finals.Team-mate Michael Owen is 6/4 with Hills to get in the World Cup squad, 1/2 not to, and both will hope to do well in the Community Shield this weekend for which Hills make Chelsea 8/11 favourites to lift the trophy with United at Even money.
Owen is 7/4 to score in 90mins play, 6/1 to open the scoring and 10/1 to net two or more.
90 minute odds: 17/10 United; 2/1 draw; 7/5 Chelsea.

WHO WILL MAKE A CHAMPION START TO THE SEASON?
With the Championship season kicking off on Friday night Hills make Middlesbro Evens to beat Sheffield Utd 11/5 with the draw offered at 11/5 in Friday night’s opening game. Hills have opened a book on which of Saturday’s Championship matches will produce the fastest goal and also the most goals.

Hill’s odds – Game With Most Goals (Saturday 3pm kick-offs): 11/2 Cardiff v Scunthorpe, 11/2 QPR v Blackpool, 13/2 Reading v Nott’m Forest, 13/2 Sheffield Wednesday v Barnsley, 13/2 Watford v Doncaster, 7/1 Crystal Palace v Plymouth, 7/1 Derby v Peterborough, 8/1 Leicester v Swansea, 8/1 Preston v Bristol City.

Hill’s odds – Game With Fastest Goal: 6/1 Cardiff v Scunthorpe, 6/1 QPR v Blackpool, 13/2 Reading v Nott’m Forest, 13/2 Sheffield Wednesday v Barnsley, 13/2 Watford v Doncaster, 7/1 Crystal Palace v Plymouth, 7/1 Derby v Peterborough, 7/1 Leicester v Swansea, 7/1 Preston v Bristol City.

SAINTS TO SURVIVE? BET ON IT

DESPITE starting the season with a ten point deduction, Southampton are 6/1 to be relegated from League One with William Hill who make Stockport 4/5 for the drop with Yeovil at 15/8 and Walsall 9/4.
Hills make Leeds 7/2 favourites to win the division, and also offer 7/1 Norwich; 9/1 Charlton; Huddersfield; 10 MK Dons; 16 Millwall; Brighton.

COUNTY ON IT?

SVEN’S NOTTS COUNTY are 11/2 favourites to win League Two with William Hill who also offer 8/1 Rotherham; 12/1 Shrewsbury; Bury; 14/1 Bradford; Chesterfield; Northampton.

FURTHER INFORMATION….Graham Sharpe…0208 918 3731

Money-Back Special – Don’t Settle For Second Best

3.55 Ripon (Sat)
Money-Back Special
If your horse finishes second to Markab in this race, we will refund your losing single stake. Conditions

Money-Back Special – Net Profit!!

Premier League Top Goalscorer
Enhanced Special
If you back any player to be the top Premier League goalscorer and he does so with 30 or more goals Paddy Power will double the odds on that player.
Conditions

Saturday Football Bet

VALUE OUTSIDERS

1PT Bristol Rovers to beat Stockport in League one 2/1 Coral or 9/5 PaddyPower and B365

(Saturday 15th August, 3.00pm KO)

We hit the bar backing the other Bristol side last week but hopefully Rovers will be capable of holding on to a 2-0 lead with less than ten minutes of normal time remaining. Sorry, I’m still a bit bitter about last week as you can probably tell. In all seriousness, I think Rovers look a good bet at a nice price on Saturday. Under normal circumstances, you wouldn’t usually be rushing to back a side that had just sold their twenty nine goal top scorer from the previous season. However, although the departure of Ricky Lambert is an obvious blow to Bristol Rovers, I think that they have capable replacements in Duffy and Kuffour, both of whom managed double figures last season. They will be eager to take their chance to build a reputation for themselves and persuade manager Paul Trollope that he doesn’t need to go and spend a lot of money on another striker. Rovers are a decent league one side and have benefited from a board that has kept faith with a young manager. Paul Trollope is beginning his fifth season at the Memorial ground and he has built a useful team with minimal resources. Trollope is actually the second longest serving manager in the division and the tenth longest serving manger in the country, which is some achievement considering the modern day craziness that sees managers sacked one game into a new season?

The main reason for this bet however, is that Stockport County just have to be opposed right now and a 2/1 quote from Coral was just too big to miss out on. Stockport were placed into administration at the end of last season and are still struggling badly. They punched above their weight for much of last year but have since lost manager Jim Gannon along with most of their best players in McNulty, Dicker, Rowe and Pilkington. There have been no new arrivals of any note over the summer apart from manager Gary Ablett. I am not convinced Ablett is going to be the man for the job at all and his record is far from inspiring. He has never managed in the football league and has just a spell as a youth coach at Everton and a stint as Liverpool reserve manager on his CV. He was only available after Liverpool terminated his contract at the end of last season.

Ablett has a very limited squad to work with and no money for new players. In a situation like this you need experienced players to see you through, yet Stockport have probably got the most inexperienced squad in the football league. The twelve players Ablett used at Oldham last week had an average age of just twenty two. Eight of them were under twenty three and the oldest player was just twenty seven. Although they left Boundary Park with a point last week, this was thanks to a man of the match performance from goalkeeper Fon Williams and was followed up by a 3-1 cup defeat at Huddersfield. The Hatters look nailed on for relegation and I will be looking to oppose them as often as prices allow. Paul Trollope seemed confident of getting a win in his pre match interview and I have to agree with him:

“Stockport are in a little bit of transition with a new manager and I’m sure Gary is trying to mould things how he’d like them – although that can take a little bit of time.

“We are confident that if we can produce the football we’re capable of and defend right, we can win the game.”

The Oracle

To Visit The Oracles site click here ==> Football Betting Tips

The Great St Wilfrid Sprint

3.55 Ripon – The Great St Wilfrid
Long term members will know I love the big sprints and today instead of looking through each runner one by one, I thought it may be interesting for me to discuss how I have analysed the race. Basically I am thinking out loud here …..
This race is complicated slightly by the fact the going is likely to be good to firm. This gives lower draws more of a chance; if it was good or softer then it would be high all the way. I am torn as all the best pace is low, but the specific race stats point strongly to high. I think the way to go is to back more than one runner – a method I often use in big sprints.
OK – let’s look at the favourite. Markab was definitely unlucky in the Wokingham when 4th and best of the stands side runners. He also was arguably unlucky at Goodwood in the Stewards Cup when 4th again. He is a worthy favourite, but the middle draw in 10 is not ideal and at the prices he looks a little tight. Don’t get me wrong – he is a worthy favourite and the most likely winner, but successful betting is about getting value and I’m not convinced he is value.
2nd favourite Excusez Moi won this race in 2006 and has been in decent form all year. Could be perfectly drawn in 19, but my biggest concern is that he tends to be held up and this is a pace track – a track that favours front runners / prominent racers. Of course people will argue that he won in 2006 so what is the problem  – however at around 7/1 I’m not going to be backing a hold up horse in this race. I may be wrong but that is my thinking.
Outside the top 2, most betting firms go 12/1 and I am hoping that we will find some value amongst the double figure prices.
Advanced – a definite for my shortlist. Has form in these big field handicaps (won Ayr Gold Cup); decent 6th in Wokingham this year; could have a good high draw. Does not race right up with the pace, but recently has only been held up once in last five starts. Amy Ryan is decent for 5lb claimer.
Hitchens – has good speed figures and is looking well handicapped after some recent modest efforts. Concern is that since switching stables to Barron the hold is being held up; he needs to be closer to the pace today and if he is ridden quite handy then he may be worth getting on ‘in running’.
Joseph Henry – could have the plum draw in 20 and I think David Allen is a good jockey booking as he rides his mounts prominently in sprints which is a plus. Not sure Joseph Henry is quite good enough to win here but looks an each way bet to me. Last run over a distance that was not ideal can be ignored.
Of the low draws I like Striking Spirit best – drawn 1 which could prove better than the pundits predict. Expect him to track Tamagin down that rail and looks overpriced to me. Ran well enough in the Stewards Cup (best finish of any horse drawn in the 20s).
Of the remainder I could not rule out Jimmy Styles, Judge ‘N’ Jury, Fullandby, Kostar and Ishetoo – so as you can see this is not easy!
All in all I think I will back one either side(each way) – those being Joseph Henry and Striking Spirit. I may well have covers on Hitchens and Advanced – just a couple of quid on each to balance the main bets.
Joseph Henry 14/1 with Sportingbet ; Striking Spirit 20/1 with Skybet – both are offering 1st five for each way
If you are punting good luck!

Dave Renham

www.RacingTrends.co.uk

Horse Racing Tip For Ripon

RIPON 2.45

EUROPEAN BREEDERS´ FUND FILLIES´
HANDICAP(CLASS 4)(3yo+ 0-80)1m1f170y

7/2 Antigua Sunrise, 7/2 Cascata, 9/2 Atabaas Allure,
9/2 Cwm Rhondda, 7/1 Kaloni, 8/1 Sparkling Crystal,
10/1 Island Music, 20/1 Tres Froide, 33/1 Shosolosa.

This is a Fillies Handicap just short of 10 furlongs. I have looked at the 12 renewals of this race and all 44 similar races in August. My negatives are these. CASCATA has to go with 3 runs and just a couple this year. I couldnt find a winner who had a similar profile.  CWM RHONDDA wouldnt be my first  choice as older horses with absences struggled and I didnt like  her profile. ISLAND MUSIC and TRES FROIDE would also  be negatives as well as no 4 year old came up in trip from an  8f race last time out. SHOSOLOSA is outclassed and I would  avoid these five horses in this race. This leaves a shortlist of Four. I felt they were all interesting in one way or another
without being exceptional but if I had to pick two it would be ANTIGUA SUNRISE and ATABAAS ALLURE

ATABAAS ALLURE has just come from Goodwood when
she couldnt dominate a Class 2 handicap. I dont mind that
as she was hardly beaten far and its a race that has provided a past winner of this race before and her form stands up to scrutiny. I see her trying to make all here and on a front runners track she may be able to run these into the ground.

I think ANTIGUA SUNRISE is a slightly better horse but
is she a better horse at short of 10 furlongs ? She won two on the bounce in May and June and looked progressive. It  was no surprise she lost two runs ago stepped up in trip when  statistically weak and running over a trip thats beyond her.  She ran very well last time out considering she was a big negative coming down half a mile in trip. Her runs at this  trip all came before her improvement and whilst its probably a bit on the short side I think she will cope with it but its not a front runners track and ATABAAS ALLURE could well have flown and could be hard to catch.

SELECTION

ATABAAS ALLURE 5/1 each way

Guy Ward

To Visit Guy’s site click here ==> Horse Racing Tip